The article highlights a significant historical trendline for bitcoin that has never been broken in previous cycles and has historically led to parabolic rallies. this, combined with analyst predictions of potential drops below $60,000 and even $50,000, creates a high impact scenario for price movement.
While the historical trendline suggests a potential for a bullish bounce, the analysts' warnings about further drops below key price levels like $60,000 and $50,000, coupled with geopolitical risks (u.s.-iran war), create uncertainty and a neutral outlook in the short term.
The trendline mentioned has held for 9 years, indicating a long-term significance. while short-term price action is uncertain due to conflicting signals and external factors, the historical data suggests that if the trendline holds, the subsequent rally could be significant and long-lasting.
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Crypto analyst Crypto Rover has pointed to a trendline that Bitcoin has never broken below in every market cycle. The leading crypto has now touched this trendline, providing optimism that it could bounce from that level as it did in previous bear cycles . Bitcoin Touches Trendline That Has Led To Parabolic Rallies In an X post , Crypto Rover revealed that Bitcoin has again touched the trendline it has never broken below in 9 years. Instead, BTC has seen parabolic rallies whenever it touches this trendline. In 2017, it rallied 1,300% after touching this trendline; in 2018, it rallied 1,900% after touching it; and in 2020, it rallied another 1,900% after touching it. Bitcoin saw another parabolic rally of 700% after touching this trendline in 2022. Related Reading Bitcoin Has Never Broken This Line Before And Price Just Touched It Again Just now Now, Bitcoin has once again touched this trendline, offering optimism that it could bounce from this region as it did in past cycles. However, in another X post , Crypto Rover suggested that BTC has not yet found a bottom and could still drop below $60,000 before it bottoms. This came as the analyst alluded to BTC’s realized price . Source: Chart from Crypto Rover on X He noted that the short-term holders’ (STH) realized price at $74,000 has been reached, but that the realized price of $53,600 and the long-term holders’ (LTH) realized price of $50,000 have not been reached. Crypto Rover added that every prior cycle bottom has traded below the realized price and that every major flush has kissed the LTH line. As such, BTC is still likely to see another move down before it bottoms. Bitcoin is also at risk of another decline with the U.S.-Iran war escalating again. The U.S. carried out strikes against military targets in Iran, which led to retaliatory attacks against U.S. military bases in the Gulf region. A Drop Below $50,000 Is Also A Possibility Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has indicated that Bitcoin could still drop below $50,000. This came as he pointed to the Investor Price, which he noted is currently $48,300. He said that this level is a key area he is watching for long-term accumulation . The analyst had described this metric as one of the most important BTC on-chain metrics. Related Reading This Bitcoin Chart Shows What To Expect For The Next 3 Months After Major Decision Point 1 day ago Martinez explained that this metric measures the average acquisition price of all economically circulating Bitcoin, filtering out permanently lost coins to provide a more realistic market-wide cost basis. However, it is worth noting that the analyst had earlier said that there were signs that BTC was about to reach a market bottom. He pointed to the 1.0-0.8 MVRV bands , which align at $53,900 and $43,150. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $62,600, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC trading at $62,728 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com