The expert bob loukas is warning of a potential 50% further decline for xrp before the end of the year, despite oversold conditions suggesting a technical rebound is due. this significant warning from a well-known trader carries substantial weight.
While acknowledging a potential technical rebound due to oversold conditions, the primary outlook from loukas is bearish, with a warning of up to a 50% decline before year-end, driven by a persistent downward market structure and potential weakness in bitcoin.
The warning of a potential 50% decline is specifically for 'before the end of the year,' indicating a short-term to medium-term price risk.
Cover image via depositphotos.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available. June of 2026 continues the worst monthly streak for XRP in several years , pushing the token toward extreme oversold conditions within the four-year 2022–2026 cycle. Against such a background, well-known trader Bob Loukas noted the inevitability of a technical rebound for the coin, but warned about the risk of its value falling by another 50% before the end of the year. Advertisement XRP's monthly return statistics show that the asset has been falling since the start of 2026. In January, the token lost 10.6%, and in February it dropped another 16.2%, while in the first week of June alone, the decline has already reached 15.7%. The only green month this year was April, with a symbolic gain of 2.13%. Why XRP and altcoins risk a further 50% decline, Loukas explains The current prolonged plunge looks like a logical continuation of the bearish trend that began at the end of 2025, when after a strong July (+35%) and a moderate September (+2.49%), the coin closed the final three months of the year in negative territory. HOT Stories XRP to $1.5 Roadmap: Analyzing Key Bollinger Bands Pattern; Shiba Inu (SHIB) Exchange Exodus Tops 1.9 Trillion Coins; Bitwise CEO Outlines Biggest Risk in Crypto and It's Not Quantum - Morning Crypto Report Tether Flips Ethereum, Bloomberg Says Bitcoin Is Next As a result, according to Loukas, the current decline has brought XRP's total drawdown from the cycle highs to 71%, which, surprisingly, is slightly better than most other altcoins, which have lost even more. Advertisement Just like all prior cycles. Current drawdown from 2022-26 crypto Cycle - ETH - 69% XRP - 71% LTC - 72% Link - 77% SOL - 79% SUI - 87% ADA - 88% AVAX - 90% Way oversold, due a bounce, but all potentially have up to 50% declines left in them this year. — Bob Loukas 🗽 (@BobLoukas) June 7, 2026 Looking at the XRP price chart, with the token currently trading around $1.12, RSI indicators confirm Loukas's thesis and show bullish divergences amid strong seller exhaustion in June. Historically, after similar prolonged declines, the token has demonstrated powerful rebounds. XRP daily price chart with RSI indicator, Source: TradingView For example, in July 2023, after a weak June, the coin rose by 47.6%, while in November 2024, after a series of red months, it delivered an explosive 281.7% rally. However, Loukas emphasizes that any possible local growth would only be a temporary pause. Advertisement You Might Also Like Sun, 06/07/2026 - 12:51 When Will XRP Escrow Finally Run Out? Ripple Vet Weighs in By Alex Dovbnya Since the broader market structure remains downward, while Bitcoin is showing weakness on weekly timeframes, the analyst expects a global bottom to form only closer to autumn or winter 2026. Until then, XRP retains the potential to fall by half from current levels, while any attempts at growth are likely to be sold quickly by large players. #XRP News #Ripple News #XRP Price Analysis #XRP Price Prediction #XRP