Significant capital outflows of over $40 billion and intensified selling from 'humpback' whales holding over 10,000 btc suggest a strong downward pressure on bitcoin's price. the correlation between falling realized cap and price descent indicates investors are withdrawing capital.
The combination of large capital outflows, aggressive whale selling, and a declining realized cap metric strongly indicates a bearish sentiment and potential for further price decreases in the short to mid-term.
The article focuses on recent on-chain data and correlations occurring over the last week and specifically from may 11th to may 28th, suggesting immediate to near-term price implications.
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Over the last week, the Bitcoin price has continued to see sustained selling pressure, with the flagship cryptocurrency trading around $73,400. According to recent on-chain data, changes in key market structures suggest Bitcoin might remain in this bearish state in the near to mid-term. Related Reading Bitcoin Has Hit A Ceiling, Analyst Says No Buying Until Price Hits This Level 1 day ago Realized Cap Metric Reflects Growing Capital Outflows In a recent post on QuickTake, on-chain analyst Carmelo Alemán revealed a notable decline in Bitcoin’s Realized Cap values. The analyst notes that, since January 19, the metric has dropped by 3.63%, from around $1.12 trillion to $1.08 trillion; a decline of $40.847 billion. Interestingly, this period of the Realized Cap’s decline coincides with Bitcoin’s descent of over 20% from $92,593 to its current valuation. For context, the Realized Cap metric measures the total amount of capital invested in Bitcoin by valuing each BTC at the price it last moved on-chain, rather than at the current market price. Given that both the Bitcoin price and the Realized Cap experienced a steady yet notable downturn, this correlation is a telltale sign that investors have likely been withdrawing their capital rather than holding through Bitcoin’s moves. Source: CryptoQuant Related Reading The Mistake Investors Are Making About Ethereum That Could Cost Them Money; Analyst 1 day ago Humpback Whales Add To Sell Pressure Further unsettling is Alemán’s highlighting that wallets holding more than 10,000 BTC seem to have joined the selling spree. These wallets, commonly referred to as Humpback Whales, are reported to have sold off approximately 612,753 BTC between the 11th and 28th of May. As such, the analyst points out that they currently dominate as the sources of spot bearish pressure. Interestingly, these huge Bitcoin sales correspond with an accelerated growth of capital outflows, which began on May 14th. Alemán notes that, as expected, the Bitcoin price dropped by approximately 10.72% during this period, from $82,365 to $73,530. Ultimately, the three highlighted on-chain conditions — falling Realized Cap, growing spot outflows, and aggressive whale distribution — paint a bearish picture for the Bitcoin price in the short term. The crypto analyst explained that the Bitcoin price is likely to maintain a downtrend, especially if it continues to be driven by speculative activity. However, the premier cryptocurrency could also quickly gain stability if the BTC spot market sees a resumption of inflows. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $73,485. According to data from CoinMarketCap, the Bitcoin price has barely moved over the past day, recording a 0.3% loss. On the weekly timeframe, however, Bitcoin is down by 2.43%. BTC trading at $73,535 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT chart on Tradingview.com Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview