Bitcoin, crypto prices tick up as US-Iran peace deal odds climb
Analysis
Price Impact
MedA potential us-iran peace deal is a geopolitical development that could lead to reduced global tensions and potentially boost investor confidence in riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. however, the direct impact on crypto prices is likely to be moderate as the market is driven by many other factors.
Trustworthiness
MedPrice Direction
BullishThe article states that bitcoin, ether, and the coindesk 20 index 'gained' and were 'slightly higher' as the odds for a peace deal increased. this suggests a positive correlation between the news and crypto price movements.
Time Effect
ShortThe article mentions increasing odds for a deal 'this month' and 'by early june', indicating that the short-term market sentiment might be influenced by these ongoing developments. the impact is likely to be more immediate rather than a long-term structural shift.
Original Article:
Article Content:
Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Bitcoin, crypto prices tick up as US-Iran peace deal odds climb Iranian negotiators arrived in Doha for talks, focusing on the Strait of Hormuz and highly enriched uranium, as Pakistan and Qatar are mediating. By Francisco Rodrigues | Edited by Aoyon Ashraf May 25, 2026, 4:46 p.m. 2 min read Make preferred on U.S. President Donald Trump speaking at Mar-a-Lago. (CoinDesk) What to know : Crypto prices rose as Polymarket odds for a U.S.-Iran peace deal increased to 37% this month. Iranian negotiators arrived in Doha for talks, focusing on the Strait of Hormuz and highly enriched uranium. Pakistan and Qatar are mediating. President Trump stated the agreement is "subject to finalization," emphasizing a conditional tone: "a Great Deal for all or, no Deal at all." Crypto prices were slightly higher on Monday amid rising odds in prediction markets for a near-term U.S.-Iran peace deal, as Iranian negotiators arrived in Doha for talks. Bitcoin gained 1.6% in 24 hours to $77,500, ether rose 1.4%, and the broader CoinDesk 20 ( CD20 ) added 1.56%. Traders on Polymarket pushed the probability of a permanent deal this month to 37%, up from roughly 14% on Friday. The odds for a deal are at 46% by early June and 72% by the end of July. The market has drawn roughly $178 million in volume. The move follows a Truth Social post from President Trump on Saturday saying the framework agreement was "subject to finalization." Iran's chief negotiator, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, and Central Bank Governor Abdolnaser Hemmati arrived in Doha earlier today for talks, per CNN . A diplomat briefed on the visit told CNN that the agenda is focused on the Strait of Hormuz and highly enriched uranium. Meanwhile, Iran's foreign ministry has described the deal as a memorandum of understanding in a first phase, with broader talks over 30 to 60 days, CNBC reported . Pakistan and Qatar are mediating. The Strait of Hormuz has been largely blockaded since the U.S. and Israel struck Iran on February 28, though traffic has partially resumed in recent days. Crude oil fell 5.4% to $91.30 per barrel. Gold rose 1.35% to $4,570 per ounce. The dollar weakened, with the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.3%. Trump's tone remains conditional. "It will only be a Great Deal for all or, no Deal at all — Back to the Battlefront and shooting, but bigger and stronger than ever before," he wrote Monday. Read more: Bitcoin trades above $77,000 as oil's 5% slide pushes Asian equities higher Crypto News More For You PCE, jobless claims and housing data test Fed cut hopes: Crypto Week Ahead By Francisco Rodrigues | Edited by Omkar Godbole 3 hours ago Your look at what's coming in the week starting May 25. What to know : Crypto Week Ahead is a comprehensive list of what's coming up in the world of cryptocurrencies and blockchain, as well as the major macroeconomic events that will influence digital asset markets. Read full story Latest Crypto News Buterin says Ethereum Foundation will shrink, sell less ETH, and focus on 'CROPS' 56 minutes ago PCE, jobless claims and housing data test Fed cut hopes: Crypto Week Ahead 3 hours ago Prometheum bets Wall Street distribution is the missing link for tokenized securities 4 hours ago HYPE funds attract millions as investors dump bitcoin and ether ETFs 6 hours ago Hyperliquid is emerging as a challenger to traditional exchanges and prediction markets, says FalconX 8 hours ago Bitcoin trades above $77,000 as oil's 5% slide pushes Asian equities higher 9 hours ago Top Stories Bitcoin options are coming to Nasdaq. Here's what it means for you 10 hours ago Crypto and the Fed: State of Crypto 22 hours ago AI is speeding up the quantum threat to crypto, security experts warn May 24, 2026 Coinbase does not fear competition from Wall Street, says exchange executive 20 hours ago A massive $1 trillion hidden market is waiting to be unlocked in bitcoin, says new report May 24, 2026 In this article BTC BTC $ 77,654.80 ◢ 1.32 %