Historical Performance Says Bitcoin Price Will Not Bottom Until It Touches This Level

Historical Performance Says Bitcoin Price Will Not Bottom Until It Touches This Level

Source: NewsBTC

Published:11:30 UTC

BTC Price:$74832.0

#btc #bitcoin #crypto

Analysis

Price Impact

High

The article suggests bitcoin may not have reached its bottom and points to historical data involving the ema 300 and 200ma as indicators for a potential further decline. this is a significant bearish signal.

Trustworthiness

Med

Price Direction

Bearish

The article highlights an analyst's view that bitcoin is unlikely to bottom without touching the ema 300, citing past cycles where bottoms occurred below this level. it also notes a rejection from the 200ma, mirroring a bearish pattern from 2022, suggesting a potential drop to the $50,000-$55,000 range.

Time Effect

Long

The analysis refers to historical performance over multiple cycles (2020, 2022) and predicts potential bottoms in the current cycle and future price movements into the fall and winter, indicating a longer-term outlook.

Original Article:

Article Content:

Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Crypto analyst Chain Mind has indicated that the Bitcoin price has yet to bottom. He alluded to historical performance, which shows that BTC has never bottomed without touching the EMA 300. Bitcoin Price Unlikely To Bottom Before Touching This Level In an X post , Chain Mind indicated that the Bitcoin price is unlikely to bottom out without first touching the EMA300. He noted that BTC has never bottomed without touching this level, as it did in 2020 and 2022, when it tagged the weekly EMA300 right before the cycle low. Specifically, Bitcoin’s bottom came 10% below the EMA in 2020 and 15% in 2022. Related Reading Historical Performance Says Bitcoin Price Will Not Bottom Until It Touches This Level Just now The analyst noted that in this cycle, the Bitcoin price bounced from $60,000 without ever reaching the EMA, suggesting the real bottom isn’t in. He added that if the pattern repeats, BTC must drop to around $58,000, marking the last bottom in this bear cycle . In another X post , the analyst indicated that BTC was mirroring the price action during the 2022 bear market. Source: Chart from Chain Mind on X This came as he revealed that the Bitcoin price had just rejected the 200MA, a move that also occurred in 2022. He explained that this confirms the bearish macro structure after BTC tagged the 200D MA again at $82,000. As such, if the 2022 pattern repeats, the leading crypto must drop 40% to 60% from the rejection point. He added that this means that the real cycle bottom must be around the $50,000 to $55,000 range. Bitcoin is once again in a downtrend after failing to hold above the psychological $80,000 level. This comes amid bearish catalysts such as the US-Iran war, rising inflation, and bets of a Fed rate hike this year. BTC’s latest decline came after the SEC delayed its approval of tokenized stocks. The Plan Remains The Same For BTC Crypto analyst Kaleo declared that the plan remains the same for the Bitcoin price despite traders on Kalshi betting against a rally to $100,000 this year. He urged market participants to zoom out and be more bullish. As for what could happen, he predicts a retest in the lower $70,000 range, then a rebound to between $80,000 and $90,000, and a range there for the summer. Related Reading If You’re Looking To Bitcoin Above $90,000, This Analyst Says To Watch This Bearish OB Level 1 day ago Once that happens, the analyst predicts that the Bitcoin price will then rally above $100,000 and reach a new all-time high (ATH) in the fall and winter. Notably, the CLARITY Act could pass between now and then, which could spark a massive rally for the leading crypto. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $75,400, down over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC trading at $74,700 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com