Why $6.9 XRP Is No Longer on the Radar: Trader Who Called 700% Rally Closes Thesis

Why $6.9 XRP Is No Longer on the Radar: Trader Who Called 700% Rally Closes Thesis

Source: UToday

Published:2026-05-12 14:06

BTC Price:$80669.6

#XRP #CryptoTrading #DonAlt

Analysis

Price Impact

High

A well-respected trader who accurately predicted a significant rally in xrp has closed their 'thesis' on the coin, suggesting its unique growth drivers are exhausted.

Trustworthiness

High

Price Direction

Neutral

While the trader no longer sees the unique catalysts for exponential growth, they also don't explicitly predict a downturn. the sentiment shifts from a specific, high-potential bullish narrative to xrp being 'just another coin' which implies its price will move with the broader market, thus neutral in isolation.

Time Effect

Long

The trader's thesis played out over a specific period (2024-2025) and its conclusion suggests the unique market dynamics that fueled past growth are over, implying a shift to longer-term, market-driven price action.

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Cover image via depositphotos.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available. Popular trader DonAlt , whose prediction in late 2024 ultimately resulted in a 700% profit surge during XRP's move from $0.50 to its eight-year high of $3.65, has officially announced the end of his thesis on the token. Advertisement Despite previous statements that XRP could break its price record and reach $6.9, the expert trader now believes the main growth driver, what he attributed to as the "crime cycle", is already in the past. DonAlt explains why XRP is now just like any other coin DonAlt's strategy was built around the concept of the so-called "crime cycle", referring to collusion, lobbying, political favoritism, and insider profit extraction from the crypto market during the specific 2024-2025 period, when XRP's abnormal growth happened. According to his latest statement, that thesis has now fully played out as the "crime cycle" is coming to an end. HOT Stories 1.3% of All XRP Now Unavailable Amid US ETF Rally; Vitalik Buterin Surprises Market With New SHIB-Style Donation; Bitcoin to $126,000: Arthur Hayes on New BTC Price High - Morning Crypto Report Ray Dalio: Bitcoin Fails as Safe Haven In his view, XRP has lost its status as a unique speculative instrument and has turned into "just another coin" moving together with the broader market, without the promise of outsized returns. Advertisement Could go up could go down I had a good trade on xrp from 0.50 to like high 2s betting on a crime cycle That thesis has played out crime went vertical Now I think the crime cycle is coming to an end so feel like my thesis has played out Now it's just like any other coin for me — DonAlt (@DonAlt) May 12, 2026 As of May 12, 2026, XRP remains stuck around the $1.46 level. While an army of supporters continues waiting for a "rocket" toward new all-time highs, one of the most accurate prophets of the previous rally now prefers to stay on the sidelines. Taking DonAlt's words as a baseline, the period of easy multiples fueled by hype is over, and expecting another parabolic run toward $6.9 under current conditions represents an unjustified risk. Advertisement You Might Also Like Tue, 05/12/2026 - 11:41 1.3% of All XRP Now Unavailable Amid US ETF Rally; Vitalik Buterin Surprises Market With New SHIB-Style Donation; Bitcoin to $126,000: Arthur Hayes on New BTC Price High - Morning Crypto Report By Gamza Khanzadaev At the same time, XRP ETFs continue seeing inflows, though they remain stable rather than explosive, with around $141 million entering the products over the last month and a half since early April in the US alone. The market is now frozen in anticipation of political decisions, as hearings on the CLARITY Act will take place in the U.S. Senate on May 14. Regulatory adoption, not old trading narratives, will determine whether XRP becomes a "safe haven" for institutions or remains primarily a speculative asset. #XRP #XRP Price Prediction #XRP Price Analysis #XRP News #Ripple News