The fact that 80% of bitcoin's supply is now held by long-term holders, who are less likely to sell, significantly reduces the available supply for active trading. this tightening supply, combined with a recent break above a key resistance zone, suggests potential for upward price movement if demand remains steady.
The tightening supply from long-term holders suggests reduced selling pressure. coupled with bitcoin breaking above a previously strong resistance zone which is now acting as support, and with a next target of $90,000, the immediate outlook is bullish, provided support holds.
While long-term holder conviction is high, the immediate price direction hinges on whether current support levels (around $78,000-$80,000) hold and if bitcoin can break through further resistance levels like $82,000 and the $90,000 target in the short term. the higher timeframe still shows caution, indicating that the longer-term trend is less certain.
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Bitcoin has climbed above a key price zone that analysts had flagged as a major obstacle โ and that move is drawing fresh attention to who actually holds the coin. Related Reading Swiss Bitcoin Reserve Effort Withdrawn After Resistance From Central Bank 17 hours ago Long-Term Holders Absorb More Supply Around 830,000 BTC has left short-term trader wallets in recent months, pushing the share of Bitcoin held by long-term addresses to 78%, up from 74% in the previous cycle. Data from on-chain tracking account Alphractal shows the shift is one of the largest recorded in recent memory. As more supply gets locked away in long-term wallets, the amount available for active trading keeps shrinking. That tightening supply tends to work in favor of prices during periods of steady demand. When fewer coins are circulating, selling pressure during price dips tends to be weaker. Reports indicate that long-term holders have been absorbing supply consistently relative to price movements, which has contributed to thinner liquidity across the market. ๐ณ๐ด.๐ฏ% ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐น๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐ถ๐ป ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด-๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐. ๐จ๐ฝ ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ผ๐บ ๐ณ๐ฐ.๐ญ%. That 4.2 percentage-point shift = roughly 830,000 BTC migrated from short-term to long-term cohort over the cycle. STH conviction is crumbling, LTH convictionโฆ pic.twitter.com/aL8pTSk3Js โ Alphractal (@Alphractal) May 9, 2026 Price Structure Points To A Range With High Stakes Bitcoin recently broke through a resistance zone between $78,000 and $80,000 โ a range that had acted as a bearish block. According to an analyst, that zone has now flipped to support, and the next target to the upside sits at $90,000. But the setup carries risk on both sides. If that newly established support level fails to hold, a pullback toward $68,000 โ and possibly as low as $60,000 โ becomes a real possibility. BTCUSD now trading at $80,920. Chart: TradingView Reports note that tighter liquidity zones increase the chance of sharp moves at key price levels, making the $78,000 area especially critical for short-term direction. A rejection at $82,000 could also be enough to swing momentum back toward the bears, according to the same analysis. Higher Timeframe Still Shows Caution Zooming out, the picture is less clear. Bitcoin remains in a corrective phase after reaching an all-time high of $120,000, wi th lower highs and lower lows forming despite brief rallies. The price is still trading below resistance at $97,000, a level analysts say would need to be reclaimed to signal a stronger shift in trend. Related Reading XRP Market Now Controlled By Whales? Dominance Reaches 91% On Binance 2 days ago Two major supply zones between $79,000 and $94,000 continue to sit overhead, acting as a ceiling for the current rally. A support channel has been forming since prices bounced from around $59,000. The data points to a market where long-term conviction is rising but short-term direction remains unsettled. Whether buyers can hold the ground theyโve gained will likely shape the next significant move. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView