Bitcoin trades above a make-or-break level ahead of Warsh hearing

Bitcoin trades above a make-or-break level ahead of Warsh hearing

Source: CoinDesk

Published:11:29 UTC

BTC Price:$76666.3

#btc #geopolitics #fed

Analysis

Price Impact

High

Bitcoin is trading above a key $75,000 level, but traders are cautious due to the impending expiration of the u.s.-iran ceasefire and the federal reserve chair nominee's hearing, both of which could trigger significant market movements.

Trustworthiness

High

Price Direction

Neutral

While bitcoin is currently above a critical support level, the uncertainty surrounding the u.s.-iran ceasefire and the fed's policy direction creates a mixed outlook, suggesting potential for volatility in either direction.

Time Effect

Short

The immediate impact will be driven by the outcomes of the u.s.-iran ceasefire negotiations and kevin warsh's senate hearing, both of which are occurring imminently.

Original Article:

Article Content:

Crypto Daybook Americas Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Bitcoin trades above a make-or-break level ahead of Warsh hearing What you need to know for April 21, 2026 By Omkar Godbole | Edited by Sheldon Reback Apr 21, 2026, 11:29 a.m. Make preferred on Federal Reserve Building in Washington D.C. (Orhan Cam/Shutterstock) What to know : Bitcoin is holding above the key $75,000 level, but traders are wary that the looming expiration of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire could trigger sharp moves across risk assets. Markets are also focused on Federal Reserve chair nominee Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation hearing, which could sway expectations for interest-rate policy and broader asset prices. After the weekend's hack of KelpDAO that hit Aave’s ecosystem and drove its token sharply lower, DeFi and memecoin indexes are posting gains. Bitcoin BTC $ 76,675.48 is trading with a positive bias above the $75,000 level, which CoinDesk recently highlighted as a critical threshold for bulls to maintain control. Still, some observers are urging caution, noting that prices need to hold above that level through Wednesday, when the U.S.–Iran ceasefire is set to end. "The ceasefire is set to expire Wednesday evening Washington time, and the market has to price two paths, extension and de-escalation versus renewed escalation and oil stress. That is why even with BTC strong, the tape can still gap fast. It is headline risk with a timer," analysts at Marex said in an email to CoinDesk. An escalation could take oil prices well above the March high of $119, potentially sending Asian and global equity markets into a tailspin. The question remains whether bitcoin, which held relatively steady around $70,000 during the March conflict, will remain resilient or come under pressure along with the broader market. As of the time of writing, no delegation from Iran had departed for the talks in Pakistan. On Monday, President Donald Trump warned of a major escalation in the conflict if the ceasefire ends without a deal. Also on analysts’ radar is Kevin Warsh’s nomination hearing for Federal Reserve chair, scheduled for Tuesday. Warsh has a reputation as an "inflation hawk" who opposed interest-rate cuts and quantitative easing following the 2008 crash. So what he says during the session could move markets. "His remarks could act as a near-term catalyst, particularly if they reinforce expectations of policy easing," digital assets trading firm QCP Capital said in a note. Speaking of the broader market, major cryptocurrencies such as ether (ETH), solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP) have risen by less than 2% over the past 24 hours, underperforming bitcoin. Smaller tokens such as XLM and TON have risen by more than 5% each. The CoinDesk Memecoin Index is up over 3%. Notably, the DeFi Select Index added 2%, which is surprising given the industry-wide fallout from the weekend hack of KelpDAO. That saw the attacker drain rsETH, a liquid restaking token widely used as collateral on several DeFi platforms. Decentralized lender Aave has taken the biggest hit, with the total value of crypto assets locked on its platform falling to $16 billion, down nearly $10 billion since before the hack. Aave's native token, AAVE, has declined 18% to $93 since the hack. At the same time, open interest in futures tied to the token hit a record high of 3.59 million tokens. Increased demand for leveraged bets points to potential for more volatility ahead. Stay alert! Read more: For analysis of today's activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today . For a comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk's " Crypto Week Ahead ." What’s trending Strategy overtakes BlackRock IBIT in bitcoin holdings after bear market buying (CoinDesk): Strategy (MSTR) now holds more bitcoin than BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). The world’s largest publicly traded BTC holder has 815,061 BTC while IBIT holds 802,824 BTC. Ripple wants the XRP Ledger to be quantum-proof by 2028. Here is its plan. (CoinDesk): Fintech company Ripple released a detailed four-phase roadmap to make the XRP Ledger, a decentralized, layer-1 blockchain, quantum-resistant, aiming to reach full readiness by 2028. Oil prices recede and stocks gain as investors eye peace talks (The New York Times): Brent crude was about $95 a barrel, down about 1%. West Texas Intermediate crude was around $87 a barrel. Investors and analysts focus on the disruption to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Bitcoin is less volatile than South Korea's stock market right now (CoinDesk): Bitcoin's 30-day realized volatility, currently 42%, has remained below 50% this month. South Korea's benchmark Kospi stock index hit 74% last week and is still around 51%. Today’s signal XRP's broader downtrend remains intact. (TradingView) The chart shows XRP's daily price swings in candlestick format. The white line represents the average price over 100 days and the yellow line represents the prolonged bear market. XRP remains below both the average and the trendline even as market leaders bitcoin BTC $ 76,675.48 and ether (ETH) have topped these levels on their respective price charts. Until the price reclaims both the 100-day average and the downtrend line, momentum remains comparatively weak versus BTC and ETH, which have already established firmer bullish structures. Crypto Daybook Americas More For You Nearly $1 billion in bitcoin ETF inflows power bull case as Kelp hack fuels DeFi jitters By Omkar Godbole | Edited by Sheldon Reback Apr 20, 2026 What you need to know for April 20, 2026 What to know : U.S.-listed spot ETFs pulled in $663 million on Friday, the most since Jan. 15., in a sign of strong institutional interest. Aave's AAVE token dropped 1% as the protocol faces collateral damage from the weekend hack of KelpDAO. Still, the DeFi dominance rate, which measures the share of DeFi coins... Read full story Latest Crypto News Bitcoin climbs as risk sentiment improves, altcoins hit by exploit concerns 54 minutes ago Crypto scammers offer ‘safe passage’ through Hormuz. At least one ship may have been conned. 59 minutes ago Bank of Korea’s new governor signals CBDC and bank token push, skips stablecoins in key address 1 hour ago Strategy overtakes BlackRock IBIT in bitcoin holdings after bear market buying 1 hour ago Bitcoin is now calmer than South Korea's stock market. Here's why it matters 2 hours ago KelpDAO hackers are laundering millions in stolen crypto, data show 2 hours ago Top Stories Bitcoin reclaims $75,000 as Iran ceasefire talks advance, equities rally resumes 5 hours ago North Korea’s crypto heist playbook is expanding and DeFi keeps getting hit 14 hours ago Aave could face up to $230 million in losses after Kelp DAO bridge exploit triggers DeFi chaos 14 hours ago Arbitrum freezes $71 million in ether tied to Kelp DAO exploit 5 hours ago Ripple wants the XRP Ledger to be quantum-proof by 2028. Here is its plan 5 hours ago Kelp DAO claims LayerZero’s 'default' settings are what actually caused the massive $290 million disaster 20 hours ago In this article BTC BTC $ 76,675.48 ◢ 1.94 %