Bitcoin has reached a key supply zone between $63,100 and $73,200, where a significant number of holders have their cost basis. while the recent surge has put many in profit, the psychological incentive to defend these levels could lead to increased selling pressure or accumulation, potentially capping further upward movement in the short term.
The price is currently stuck within a significant supply zone. while the upward momentum has brought it close to the upper end of this zone, the potential for selling pressure from investors near their cost basis, or accumulation to defend it, suggests a period of consolidation or potential resistance rather than a clear bullish or bearish trend.
The immediate price action will likely be determined by how bitcoin breaks through or retreats from this critical supply zone over the next few days. the 'defense' by holders at their cost basis is a short-term psychological factor.
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. On-chain data shows Bitcoin has been trading inside a major cost-basis cluster recently, and the latest rally hasn’t taken it past the range either. Bitcoin URPD Shows Significant Supply Has Cost Basis Near Current Levels In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed the latest data for the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) of Bitcoin. This on-chain indicator tells us about the amount of BTC that was last purchased at the various price levels visited by the cryptocurrency in its history. Related Reading Top Toncoin Whales Silently Accumulate 189,730 TON Despite Market Weakness 10 hours ago Below is the chart shared by Martinez that shows how the URPD of Bitcoin is looking right now. Looks like a large amount of the asset was purchased at levels between $63,000 and $73,000 | Source: @alicharts on X As is visible in the graph, there are some levels near to the current spot price with a notable amount of supply last purchased according to the URPD. Naturally, the investors holding coins with a cost basis at one of these levels below the latest price would be in some profit right now, while those above would be underwater. However, the latest price surge has meant that the majority of investors inside this cluster are now in the green. From the chart, it’s visible that this supply zone sits between $63,100 and $73,200. Following the rally back above $72,000, BTC has climbed toward the end of this range, but hasn’t yet exited it. Generally, investors who are in loss tend to react to a retest of their cost basis by selling, as they may fear going back underwater. Profitable hands, on the other hand, may accumulate more at their cost basis to defend it. Referring to the cluster between $63,100 and $73,200, the analyst noted: This is where millions of holders “voted” on the price. As long as we trade within this range, these investors are psychologically incentivized to defend their buy-in. Beyond the range, supply is relatively thin on the URPD until $82,000. While this means that Bitcoin won’t find much support at those levels, it also implies that resistance from investors exiting at their cost basis could also be relatively low. Though, it only remains to be seen how price action will unfold in the coming days and whether the cryptocurrency will venture past the range. Related Reading Zcash Breaks Out With 34% Surge—Is $440 The Next Target? 22 hours ago In another X post , Martinez also talked about the URPD for Ethereum , the digital asset second largest by market cap. As is visible in the below chart, ETH has major clusters at $2,079 and $1,882. The latest URPD data for ETH | Source: @alicharts on X After the latest price recovery, Ethereum is floating above both of these levels. “If the price drops below these levels, millions of holders at $1,584, $1,238, and $1,089 will likely defend their original “buy-in” price, creating a new floor,” explained the analyst. BTC Price Bitcoin has seen its recovery stall since Tuesday as its price is still trading around $72,400. The trend in the price of the coin over the last five days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com