The article suggests a significant shift in bitcoin holder behavior, with long-term holders accumulating large amounts of btc while short-term traders exit. this, combined with a network activity index entering a bull phase, could lead to a substantial price increase due to reduced supply and increased demand from committed investors.
The key bull signal is the cryptoquant bitcoin network activity index crossing into a bull phase for the first time in a year. this, coupled with the significant accumulation of btc by long-term holders and a decrease in exchange inflows (tightening supply), suggests upward price pressure.
The article discusses recent data points (april 6, tuesday) and immediate price action (up nearly 5% on the day). the bull signal from the network activity index is also a current development, implying that the price impact could be felt in the short term.
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Bitcoin’s active address momentum has sunk to its weakest point since April 2018, even as a separate index tracking overall network health has crossed into what analysts call a bull phase for the first time in roughly a year. Related Reading South Korea Imposes 5-Minute Audit Rule On Crypto Platforms 21 hours ago A Market Driven By Fewer, More Committed Players The active addresses momentum metric dropped to -0.25 on April 6, according to CryptoQuant data. The figure tracks how fast the number of active addresses is changing, and a negative reading points to shrinking user participation. Low readings like this have persisted since July 2025 — a stretch that mirrors a similar period in 2024 that was followed by a 35% price drop. Crypto analyst Gaah, writing on CryptoQuant, says the numbers reflect the absence of short-term traders from the market. What remains, the analyst argues, is a base of long-term holders focused on steady buying rather than trading. Bitcoin holdings of accumulating address groups. Source: CryptoQuant Yet even as daily user activity contracts, wallets tied to long-term and retail-linked investors have been filling up. Data shows BTC held in accumulating address cohorts has reached 4.37 million coins as of Tuesday — more than double the roughly 2 million held by the same group in early 2024. Retail-linked addresses alone added approximately 857,000 BTC, while wallets that buy at regular intervals with few outflows grew their combined holdings to nearly 1.30 million BTC. All of this happened while Bitcoin’s price stayed below $70,000 for the entire first quarter of 2026. BTCUSD trading at $72,134 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView Exchange Inflows Slow To A Fraction Of Prior Cycles Coin movement through centralized exchanges has dropped sharply compared to earlier growth periods. During the 2023 to 2024 expansion, inflows from highly active addresses often ran between 1.2 million and 1.5 million BTC. Reports indicate recent figures average between 300,000 and 350,000 BTC — roughly a quarter of that pace. Less coin is cycling through trading platforms, and more is being held off-market in long-term storage. Bitcoin on-chain transaction activity. Source: CryptoQuant That shift is tightening the available supply. When fewer coins sit on exchanges ready to be sold, the liquid supply shrinks, and the market becomes more sensitive to any uptick in demand. Network Activity Index Crosses A Key Threshold The CryptoQuant Bitcoin network activity index climbed to 3,600 from 3,320 on March 22. The index pulls together transaction counts and broader throughput signals into a single reading. It crossed above its 365-day moving average for the first time since December 2024, a level CryptoQuant associates with a bull phase — the first such signal since April 2025. Related Reading XRP Headed For A Price Shock, Japan’s Financial Heavyweight Says 2 days ago The split between the two metrics tells an unusual story. One index is flashing positive. The other is at an eight-year low. Reports suggest the current phase is being pushed along by accumulation rather than by widespread network use or new participants entering the market. Bitcoin was trading at $72,045 at the time of publication, up nearly 5% on the day. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView