Over 40% Of Bitcoin Supply Now Underwater As Losses Near $600 Billion

Over 40% Of Bitcoin Supply Now Underwater As Losses Near $600 Billion

Source: NewsBTC

Published:2026-04-03 17:00

BTC Price:$67004.3

#btc #bitcoin #crypto

Analysis

Price Impact

High

A significant portion of bitcoin supply (over 40%) is now underwater, with unrealized losses nearing $600 billion. this level of downside suggests strong selling pressure and a potential for further price declines as long-term holders capitulate.

Trustworthiness

High

Price Direction

Bearish

The data indicates that a large number of holders are selling at a loss, including long-term holders. the negative coinbase premium index suggests a lack of us buyer demand, and the overall supply overhang points to continued downward pressure on price.

Time Effect

Long

The historical comparisons to q2 2022, a painful period for bitcoin, and the sustained negative demand metrics suggest that it may take a significant amount of time for the market to absorb the current supply overhang and for price to recover.

Original Article:

Article Content:

Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Long-term Bitcoin holders are selling at a loss — and the numbers show it’s becoming a pattern, not an anomaly. Related Reading Bitcoin Stumbles Hard: The Worst Q1 In Years Raises Big Questions 10 hours ago US Buyers Stay On The Sidelines Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium Index has stayed negative in recent weeks, a sign that American investors have largely pulled back from the market. According to CryptoQuant, the gap between BTC pricing on Coinbase and Binance reflects a broader reluctance among US buyers to step back in at current levels. That hesitation is showing up across multiple data points, from exchange flows to investment product performance. BTC Coinbase Premium Index. Source: CryptoQuant Global Bitcoin investment funds recorded more than $190 million in net outflows during the week ending March 27. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which drew heavy institutional interest during their launch period, are now sitting below water for many of their holders. Data shows the average cost basis for US spot Bitcoin ETF investors sits at $83,400 — well above where the price is trading today. Bitcoin was changing hands at around $66,820 when this report was made, roughly 47% below its all-time high of $126,000, which was set in October 2025. The price is also 24% below its yearly open of $87,600, after BTC closed 2025 in the red. Bitcoin trading at $66,830 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView Nearly 9 Million BTC Held At A Loss Close to 9 million Bitcoin — more than 40% of the total circulating supply — are currently held by investors who paid more than the current price, according to on-chain data from Glassnode. The combined unrealized loss on that supply comes to roughly $598 billion. Glassnode drew a comparison to conditions last seen in the second quarter of 2022, one of Bitcoin’s most painful stretches in recent memory. Back then, around 3 million BTC had to change hands before the market found its footing again. Bitcoin total supply in loss. Source: Glassnode Based on reports from Glassnode’s latest Week On-chain newsletter, resolving a supply overhang of this size has historically meant coins moving from sellers taking losses to new buyers willing to enter at lower prices. Demand, for now, is not keeping up. Capriole Investments’ Bitcoin Apparent Demand metric logged a reading of -1,623 BTC on Thursday. That figure has stayed negative since mid-December 2025. CryptoQuant described the situation as broad market distribution, driven by continued selling from retail participants. Bitcoin long-term holder realized loss. Source: Glassnode Related Reading XRP Could Soon Enter Arizona’s Treasury — Here’s What’s Happening 1 day ago Long-Term Holders Begin To Crack Perhaps the sharpest signal in the data involves investors who have held Bitcoin for more than 155 days. This group, typically seen as the most committed segment of the market, is now selling at a loss at an elevated rate. Glassnode reported that realized losses among long-term holders have climbed to $200 million — a level the firm described as confirmation of active capitulation. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView