XRP Confirms Monthly Trend Shift vs. Bitcoin: Why 41% Drop Is Now Base Case

Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available. The technical picture on the monthly chart by TradingView for XRP against Bitcoin is giving a clear bearish signal. Following the close of the March candle below the critical level of 0.0000215 BTC per XRP, the asset risks entering a phase of prolonged decline against the leading cryptocurrency. Advertisement The key negative marker on the chart is the consolidation of XRP/BTC below the middle Bollinger Band at the close of March 2026. The middle line, which long acted as dynamic support, has now turned into resistance. Historically, a breakdown on the monthly chart signals a transfer of control to sellers for an extended period, ranging from several months to a year. From $1.31 to $0.57? How 41% XRP/BTC drop could materialize by 2027 According to the principles of the Bollinger Bands indicator, once the middle line is lost, the price center of gravity shifts toward the lower band. Its current level stands at 0.00001138 BTC, which, relative to current quotes, implies a further 41% decline for XRP against Bitcoin. HOT Stories 'Living Rent-Free': Ripple CEO Fires Back at Avalanche Founder Shiba Inu (SHIB) Back to Life, Ethereum Now on Path to $3,000, Dogecoin's (DOGE) Zero Removal in Question: Crypto Market Review XRP/BTC monthly chart with Bollinger Bands, Source: TradingView The negative outlook is reinforced by the broader crypto market backdrop. Bitcoin is currently showing weakness, and many analysts believe that by the end of 2026, its price could fall below $50,000. If Bitcoin dominance rises or the market continues its broader decline, alternative cryptocurrencies, and XRP in particular, will be under greater pressure. Advertisement You Might Also Like Thu, 04/02/2026 - 07:21 Ripple's Latest XRP Bag Smashes Last Year's Average: 5 Billion XRP Now in Spendable Wallets By Yuri Molchan If we operate with the numbers and assume a Bitcoin price of $50,000, then a 41% decline of XRP against Bitcoin would imply an XRP price of around $0.57. This is not unrealistic, as the token traded at similar levels before the rally at the end of 2024. Without a return above the middle Bollinger Band in the coming months, a move toward 0.00001138 BTC remains a matter of time. As a result, 2026 could become a year of capitulation for XRP holders against Bitcoin . Advertisement #XRP #Bitcoin #XRP Price Prediction #Ripple News