Geopolitical tensions leading to oil price surge and a broader risk-off sentiment are causing significant drops across major cryptocurrencies like btc, eth, ada, and sol. derivatives data indicates traders are actively positioning for further downside.
The price direction is bearish due to escalating geopolitical tensions, which traditionally lead to a flight to safety, away from risk assets like cryptocurrencies. the data on funding rates and open interest confirms short-selling pressure.
The immediate impact of geopolitical events on markets is typically short-lived, though prolonged conflict can have longer-term effects. the current analysis points to an immediate bearish reaction.
Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Crypto markets tumble as oil surges and traders pile into bearish bets: Crypto Markets Today Bitcoin and ether fell sharply alongside global risk assets after escalating tension in Iran drove oil higher, while derivatives data shows traders positioning for further downside. By Oliver Knight , Omkar Godbole Apr 2, 2026, 10:30 a.m. Make preferred on Traders pile into bearish bets (geralt/Pixabay What to know : Crypto fell after renewed geopolitical tensions pushed oil up by 10% and weighed on equities, strengthening the dollar and driving a broader risk-off move. Funding rates turned deeply negative and open interest rose, indicating traders are actively shorting BTC and ETH; liquidations hit nearly $400 million. Despite the drop, implied volatility remains stable and options markets show sustained demand for downside protection rather than panic selling. Bitcoin BTC $ 66,366.82 gave back a large portion of its recent gains on Thursday, now trading at $66,700 having lost 2.4% of its value since midnight UTC. Ether (ETH) performed even worse, tumbling by 4.4% as the broader crypto market struggles to deal with continued risk-off sentiment. The latest plunge was spurred by U.S. president Donald Trump, who said on Wednesday evening that the war in Iran would continue with extensive strikes on Iran. “Over the next two to three weeks, we’re going to bring them back to the stone ages where they belong,” he said. The comments led to an immediate spike in oil prices, with brent crude rising by around 10% to $108 per barrel as U.S. equities diverged. Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures lost 1.5% and 1.1% respectively while the U.S. dollar increased by 0.5% to above 100 points. Derivatives positioning BTC's price has dropped over 2% since midnight UTC hours alongside a slightly uptick in open interest in major USD- and USDT-denominated futures. Plus, perpetual funding rates have dropped to their most negative since March 12. This combination suggests that traders are bearish and shorting the falling market. In ether's case, funding rates are most negative since October last year, a sign of strong bias for bearish bets. Meanwhile, bearishness in solana (SOL) is surprisingly more measured despite the overnight hack. Privacy-focused zcash (ZEC) and ADA $ 0.2380 have seen a notable decline in open interest (OI) in 24 hours, a sign of capital outflows. Nearly $400 million in futures positions have been liquidated due to margin shortfalls. That's a 17% increase in losses compared to the previous day. Despite renewed risk-off tone, bitcoin and ether's 30-day implied volatility indices remain flat in recent ranges. It points to orderly selling in the spot market rather than panic. There is little scope for panic because traders are already positioned for market swoon. They have been consistently chasing bitcoin and ether put options (downside hedges) since the start of the year. As of writing, bitcoin and ether puts remained pricier than calls across all tenors on Deribit. Block flows featured demand for ether straddles, a volatility strategy, and put spreads and bitcoin call spreads. Token talk The worst performing benchmark on Thursday was CoinDesk's DeFi Select Index (DFX), which lost 5.9% since midnight UTC, closely followed by the CoinDesk Computing Select Index (CPUS) that tumbled by 5%. Ethena (ENA) led the downside move as it fell by more than 10% on Thursday, there was also a heavy drawdown among DeFi tokens UNI, LDO, SKY and AAVE - all shedding between 4.2% and 6.5% during Asian and European hours on Thursday. Algorand (ALGO) bucked the bearish market trend, rising by around 0.8% on Thursday as it continues its rich vein of form having rallied by 22% in the past week. 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