Bitcoin bullish bets hit a 28-month high on Bitfinex, and that's music to bears' ears

Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Bitcoin bullish bets hit a 28-month high on Bitfinex, and that's music to bears' ears Historically, spikes in Bitfinex BTC/USD longs have acted as a contrary indicator. By Omkar Godbole Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 p.m. Make preferred on Longs on Bitfinex climb in a positive sign for bitcoin bears. Bear. (Hans-Jurgen Mager/Unsplash) What to know : Bullish bitcoin long positions on Bitfinex have climbed to 79,343, the highest level since November 2023. Historically, spikes in Bitfinex BTC/USD longs have acted as a contrary indicator, often coinciding with price tops and preceding sell-offs. The latest surge in longs, combined with macro factors, point to a growing risk that bitcoin’s bear market could deepen. In this article BTC BTC $ 66,481.74 ◢ 0.50 % Yes, you read the title right. The number of bullish bitcoin BTC $ 66,481.74 wagers, the so-called BTC/USD long positions, on the OG exchange Bitfinex has hit multi-month highs. But, bulls, hold your cheers, as this metric has become a textbook "contrary indicator" over the years, with upswings characterizing bitcoin's price downtrends. Highest since 2023 The number of BTC/USD longs has increased to 79,343, the highest since November 2023, according to data source CoinDesk. Rising bullish bets usually signal growing upside pressure – a positive read. But historically, the market has done the exact opposite, falling just as Mother Nature turns sunny forecasts into storms. For instance, the number of BTC/USD longs rose 30% in the final quarter of 2025 as BTC's spot price tanked 23% to $87,550. Similar patterns have been observed in recent years, as seen below. The chart shows inverse relationship between the spot price and number of longs on Bitfinex. (TradingView) BTC's price bottoms when Bitfinex longs peak – and rallies as they decline. Price tops (like October) hit when longs bottom out, then prices slide as longs climb. Analysts have previously explained this conundrum by saying the crowd is usually clueless, so bet against them. So, the latest uptick in longs suggests that bitcoin's choppy price action between $65,000 and $75,000 could soon end with a sell-off, deepening the downtrend that began above $100,000 last year. It goes without saying that past results are no guarantee of future results. That said, other factors, such as reports that the U.S. is planning to deploy troops to the ongoing war in Iran, the oil price shock, and fears of a Fed rate hike , also favour the bearish case. At press time, bitcoin traded around $66,400, according to CoinDesk data . Bitcoin News More For You The Definitive Stablecoin Landscape Series: North America By CoinDesk Research Mar 26, 2026 Commissioned by Ripple As stablecoins evolve into core financial infrastructure, North America leads. This report maps the regulation, market shifts, and players driving adoption. Why it matters : Stablecoins are entering their third phase of evolution - the institutionalization era - becoming increasingly embedded into core financial infrastructure. As institutions prioritize transparency and compliance, regulated issuers like USDC, RLUSD, and PYUSD are steadily gaining share with RLUSD surpassing $1B in market cap within its first year. North America, leading in regulatory frameworks and institutional distribution, is at the center of it all. 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