Bitcoin's building steam and a $3 billion trigger could make it wild

Crypto Daybook Americas Поділитися Поділитися цією статтею Скопіювати посилання X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Електронна пошта Bitcoin's building steam and a $3 billion trigger could make it wild Your day-ahead look for March 13, 2026 Автор Omkar Godbole | Відредаговано Sheldon Reback 13 бер. 2026 р., 11:28 дп Перекладено AI Make us preferred on Google Bitcoin's building steam. (PublicDomainArchive/Pixabay modified by CoinDesk) What to know : If you're not already subscribed to the newsletter email, click here . By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise) Bitcoin BTC $ 72,397.54 looks to be gathering bullish momentum, with volatility expected to increase as prices near a $3 billion trigger point. The leading cryptocurrency by market value climbed through $72,100 during European hours, the widely tracked average price over the past 50 days. According to analysts, a firm move above this level would confirm bullish momentum, potentially drawing in more buyers. Volatility is likely to pick up should prices near $75,000. That's where options market makers, who provide order-book liquidity and ensure a seamless trading experience, are holding net " short gamma " positions worth $3 billion, according to Markus Thielen, the founder of 10x Research. It means that as prices climb toward that level, these entities are likely to buy to rebalance their net exposure to neutral even as prices rise. This so-called dealer hedging could boost market volatility, potentially accelerating any rally. Note that market makers make money through the bid-ask spread, not price direction. "The options market shows roughly $3 billion of negative gamma exposure at the $75,000 strike, meaning dealers are likely short gamma around this level. As Bitcoin moves higher toward this region, dealer hedging flows can begin to play a more important role in shaping price dynamics," Thielen said in a note to clients. That's not, however, a set-in-concrete scenario. Alex Kuptsikevich, the chief market analyst at FxPro, worries that macro headwinds will arrest gains in bitcoin. "External factors are acting as a headwind, including rising oil and dollar prices, as well as the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices falling to their 200-day lows. We doubt Bitcoin will have the strength to withstand the wind for long, and internal resistance may soon become a significant obstacle to growth," he said in an email. Traditional markets are indeed sending risk-off signals. The strongest hint comes from the U.S. Treasury market, which underpins global finance. The MOVE index, which measures the 30-day expected price turbulence in Treasury notes, surged over 21% to 95 points Thursday, the biggest single-day rise since October 2024, according to data source TradingView. Sharp spikes in Treasury volatility often tighten money worldwide, choking credit flows and sparking broad selling across markets. Stay alert! Read more: For analysis of today's activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today What to Watch For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk's " Crypto Week Ahead ". Crypto Nothing scheduled. Macro March 13, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. GDP growth rate QoQ second estimate for Q4 Est. 1.4% (Prev. 1.4%;) March 13, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. core PCE price index MoM for January Est. 0.4% (Prev. 0.4%) March 13, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. personal spending MoM for January Est. 0.3% (Prev. 0.4%) March 13, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. JOLTS job openings for January Est. 6.7M (Prev. 6.542M) March 13, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. Michigan consumer sentiment preliminary for March (Prev. 56.6) Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data) March 13: Bit Digital (BTBT), pre-market, -$0.01 Token Events For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk's " Crypto Week Ahead ". Governance votes & calls No major calls scheduled. Unlocks March 13: WhiteBit Coin (WBT) to unlock 27.77% of its circulating supply worth $4.59 billion. Token Launches March 13: Ether.fi KAT token rewards to be distributed. Conferences For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk's " Crypto Week Ahead ". Day 5 of 5: Policy Week 2026 (Sydney, Australia) Day 2 of 4: ETHMumbai (Mumbai, India) Market Movements BTC is up 2.95% from 4 p.m. ET Thursday at $72,457.14 (24hrs: +3.14%) ETH is up 2.92% at $2,128.69 (24hrs: +3%) CoinDesk 20 is up 3.14% at 2,068.83 (24hrs: +3.01%) Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 1 bps at 2.79% BTC funding rate is at 0.0015% (1.6688% annualized) on Binance DXY is up 0.42% at 100.16. Gold futures are down 0.44% at $5,093.40 Silver futures are down 2.11% at $82.89 Nikkei 225 closed down 1.16% at 53,819.61 Hang Seng closed down 0.98% at 25,465.60 FTSE 100 is down 0.43% at 10,260.60 Euro Stoxx 50 is down 0.71% at 5,708.34 DJIA closed on Thursday down 1.56% at 46,677.85. S&P 500 closed down 1.52% at 6,672.62 Nasdaq Composite closed down 1.78% at 22,311.98 S&P/TSX Composite closed down 0.84% at 32,840.60 S&P 40 Latin America closed up 1.43% at 3,611.39. U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is up 6 bps at 4.27% E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.30% at 6,697.75 E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.29% at 24,631.50 E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index are up 0.34% at 46,881.00 Bitcoin Stats BTC Dominance: 59.44% (0.24%) Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.0294 (0.01%) Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 984 EH/s Hashprice (spot): $31.34 Total fees: 2.69 BTC / $188,598 CME Futures Open Interest: 110,290 BTC BTC priced in gold: 14.2 oz. BTC vs gold market cap: 4.82% Technical Analysis Bitcoin's daily charts. (TradingView/CoinDesk) The chart shows bitcoin's daily price swings in candlestick format since late 2025. It also plots the Fibonacci retracements of the January-February selloff and the 50-day simple moving average of bitcoin's price. BTC's price is looking to top the 50-day SMA line. That would shift the focus to next resistance level at $74,564, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the selloff. On the other hand, a failure to penetrate the 50-day SMA could embolden sellers, potentially leading to a drop below $70,000. Crypto Equities Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Thursday at $193.23 (–2.72%), +1.96% at $197.02 in pre-market Circle Internet Group (CRCL): closed at $114.18 (+1.21%), +0.58% at $114.84 Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $20.63 (–3.87%), +1.89% at $21.02 MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $8.76 (+2.46%), +1.60% at $8.90 Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $14.50 (–2.09%), +1.59% at $14.73 Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $16.24 (–1.81%) CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $9.55 (–2.65%), +1.57% at $9.70 Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $9.96 (–8.71%), unchanged in pre-market CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI): closed at $37.96 (–2.47%) Bullish (BLSH): closed at $36.24 (–2.55%), +0.44% at $36.40 Crypto Treasury Companies Strategy (MSTR): closed at $137.34 (–0.72%), +2.49% at $140.76 Strive Asset Management (ASST): closed at $8.83 (–4.33%), +1.59% at $8.97 SharpLink (SBET): closed at $7.48 (–1.45%), +2.54% at $7.67 Upexi (UPXI): closed at $0.93 (–9.71%), +4.61% at $0.97 Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.15 (–1.71%) ETF Flows Spot BTC ETFs Daily net flows: $53.8 million Cumulative net flows: $55.93 billion Total BTC holdings ~ 1.29 million Spot ETH ETFs Daily net flows: $72.4 million Cumulative net flows: $11.75 billion Total ETH holdings ~ 5.71 million Source: Farside Investors While You Were Sleeping U.S. eases Russia oil sanctions as Iran war pushes up energy prices (BBC): The U.S. loosened sanctions on countries buying Russian oil and petroleum already on vessels at sea to curb the economic impact of war with Iran, which has forced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Trump warns Iran to watch what happens as war hits two-week mark (Bloomberg): “Watch what happens to these deranged scumbags,” Trump said on Truth Social on Friday. Yet pressure is rising on him given the chaos the war’s caused across the Middle East . Israel targets Hezbollah in Beirut as strikes hit City Center (The New York Times): The attacks raised concerns the war is expanding beyond Hezbollah’s strongholds into parts of Beirut once considered comparatively safe. New strikes were also reported in Iran, Iraq and Israel. Crypto Daybook Americas More For You Bitcoin looks resilient, but don't ignore those $20,000 puts By Omkar Godbole | Edited by Sheldon Reback Mar 12, 2026 Your day-ahead look for March 12, 2026 What to know : If you're not already subscribed to the newsletter email, click here . Read full story Latest Crypto News Bitcoin outperforms stocks, tops $72,000 even as dollar strengthens hace 36 minutos Bitcoin holds above $71,000, defying rising dollar, oil and U.S. bond yields hace 1 hora Bitcoin's recent crash to $60,000 warned stocks first – now they're following hace 4 horas BlackRock’s new ether ETF for yield hungry investors debuts with $15 million in trading volume hace 5 horas Pi rallies more than 30% after Kraken announces listing hace 6 horas XRP jumps 3% as breakout above $1.39 ends early-2026 downtrend hace 6 horas Top Stories SEC's advisory group backs tokenized securities push, outlines how to keep it safe hace 13 horas Vitalik Buterin says Ethereum should be used as a simple digital bulletin board hace 20 horas Cathie Wood's Ark Invest says quantum computing is a long-term risk for bitcoin, not an imminent threat hace 20 horas In this article BTC BTC $ 72,397.54 ◢ 2.78 %