The 'death cross' on the 3-day chart is a significant bearish technical indicator. historical precedents show that this pattern has consistently preceded major price drawdowns in bitcoin's market cycles, suggesting a substantial potential for further decline.
The analysis is based on historical data and the interpretation of a well-known technical indicator by a recognized market analyst (ali martinez). while historical patterns can be informative, they are not guarantees of future performance, and market conditions can change.
The formation of a death cross (50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average on the 3-day chart) is a strong bearish signal. historical data suggests this has led to significant price drops, with potential for bitcoin to fall further to around $33,500.
Death crosses are typically longer-term indicators. the analysis draws on historical cycles, suggesting that the impact of this particular death cross could unfold over an extended period as the market finds a potential bottom.
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Market analyst Ali Martinez highlights a recent development on the Bitcoin 3-day chart with significant bearish implications. The leading cryptocurrency still trades just below the $70,000 mark following the temporary breakout earlier this week. Bitcoin has now spent an overwhelming majority of the last month within the $60,000 โ $70,000 price range, after prices crashed to a new market low in late January/early February amid the extended bearish season. Related Reading Bitcoin May Hit $180,000 This Year, But Only If This Scenario Plays Out: Amber Data 4 hours ago Bitcoin Set For Another Leg Down? In an X post on March 6, Martinez shares a key macro insight on the Bitcoin price trajectory, using historical data from the 3-day trading chart. The seasoned analyst explains that the formation of a particular death cross has consistently preceded the final price drawdown in the market cycle. Generally, the death cross represents a bearish technical indicator where a short-term moving average falls below the long-term moving average, indicating that recent price momentum has weakened relative to the longer-term trend, and there is rising selling pressure coupled with a potential prolonged downturn. The common version of the death cross appears when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average, and is a key bearish indicator in the Bitcoin market, according to observations shared by Martinez. In 2013, Bitcoin had notably crashed by 72% before the 50/200 SMA death cross appeared. Thereafter, the market leader recorded an additional 52% price fall, before reaching a price bottom. Bitcoin $BTC 3-day chart has been one of the most important timeframes from a macro perspective. What matters most for me in this timeframe is the interaction between the 50 and 200 simple moving averages. ๐งต๐ โ Ali Charts (@alicharts) March 6, 2026 A similar pattern is observed in 2017, when Bitcoin declined by 67% from its market peak before the appearance of the death cross, which triggers an additional 50% crash. For the last market cycle, the 50/200 SMA death cross appeared in May 2022, when Bitcoin was prominently down by 58% from its cycle top. Thereafter, BTC investors would experience another 46% devaluation. According to data from CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin is presently down by 45.62% from the present cycle high of $126,100 following an extended bearish phase that has lasted since October. Notably, price movement has also minted another death cross on the 3-day chart, indicating a potential major downside could occur based on precedents. In this case, Bitcoin may fall by an additional average 49% to establish a potential bottom around $33,500. However, Martinez warns that this price setup provides no bearish guarantee, but only historical alignment with macro bottom formations. Related Reading Bitcoin Bounce Fails As Short-Term Holders Rush To Take Profit 7 hours ago Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $68,235 following a 4.21% decline in the last 24 hours. Following recent positive price action, the maiden cryptocurrency is up by 3.59% on its weekly chart. However, Bitcoin remains far off a bullish turnaround as indicated by current losses of 4.49% on the monthly chart. BTC trading at $67,819 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT chart on Tradingview.com Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview