XRP Risks Losing 50% vs Bitcoin After Unfortunate February Closing
Analysis
Price Impact
HighThe article suggests xrp could lose 50% against bitcoin if it closes below a key technical indicator (20-month moving average on monthly bollinger bands). this is a significant potential downside risk.
Trustworthiness
MedThe analysis is based on technical indicators (bollinger bands, moving averages) and historical price action. while technical analysis can be insightful, it's not always predictive and market sentiment or fundamental news can override these patterns.
Price Direction
BearishThe article explicitly states that closing below the middle bollinger band indicates a bearish trend for xrp against bitcoin. the lower band suggests a potential 52.91% drop from the current ratio.
Time Effect
LongThe analysis uses monthly time frames and mentions historical data from over a year ago, indicating a focus on longer-term trends rather than short-term fluctuations.
Original Article:
Article Content:
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available. In February, XRP failed to deliver in any format. Against the U.S. dollar, XRP simply lost more than 16% in price. Another benchmark, namely its ratio against the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, saw XRP finish the month below the middle Bollinger Band level on the monthly time frame, the one represented by the 20-month moving average, as per TradingView . Advertisement Bitcoin to take upper hand against XRP, as per Bollinger Bands The principal importance of this level, as of any Bollinger Band average on any time frame, is that it effectively separates trends for the token. If an asset falls below the midline band, the prevailing trend can be considered bearish, and the lower Bollinger Band becomes the primary price benchmark. For XRP against Bitcoin, that lower band stands at 0.00009775 BTC per XRP, which is currently 52.91% below the present valuation of the ratio between the two cryptocurrencies. HOT Stories Elon Musk's X Restricts Crypto From Paid Features, Shiba Inu (SHIB) Averages Historic 24% Price Rise in March, 'I Love Cardano': Hoskinson Teases More for ADA — Morning Crypto Report Ripple CEO Urges Banks to Act in Good Faith XRP/USD Monthly Chart with Bollinger Bands, Source: TradingView For comparison, more than a year ago, in January 2025, the XRP against Bitcoin ratio, after a three-month 380% rally, reached and even exceeded the upper Bollinger Band on the monthly time frame, peaking at 0.00003419 BTC per XRP. Advertisement Since then, XRP has not only declined by 40% from that level against its flagship counterpart, but, as stated at the beginning, has also fallen into the lower corridor drawn by the Bollinger Bands. You Might Also Like Sun, 03/01/2026 - 14:42 'Ponzi Scheme': Saylor's Strategy's New Dividend Policy Raises Criticism By Arman Shirinyan This hardly means that XRP will fall to the lower boundary in the near term, but until there is a confident close above the middle band, expectations of XRP outperforming Bitcoin , as it did over the previous two years, should remain limited. Advertisement #XRP #Bitcoin #XRP Price Analysis