Bitcoin gains, is still 'signficantly undervalued,' Bitwise says. 'Extreme fear' dominates.

Crypto Daybook Americas Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Bitcoin gains, is still 'signficantly undervalued,' Bitwise says. 'Extreme fear' dominates. Your day-ahead look for Feb. 20, 2026 By Francisco Rodrigues | Edited by Sheldon Reback Feb 20, 2026, 12:15 p.m. Make us preferred on Google (Midjourney modified by CoinDesk) What to know : You are viewing Crypto Daybook Americas, your morning briefing on what happened in the crypto markets overnight and what's expected during the coming day. Crypto Daybook Americas will kickstart your morning with comprehensive insights. If you're not already subscribed to the email, click here . You won't want to start your day without it. By Francisco Rodrigues (All times ET unless indicated otherwise) Bitcoin BTC $ 67,801.44 has gained 2% in the past 24 hours, scrambling to top $68,000 after a selloff earlier this month. That's done little to ease sentiment, with the "Fear and Greed" index remaining at the “extreme fear” level for a 20th straight day. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms & conditions and privacy policy . André Dragosch, the head of research in Europe at Bitwise, said consolidation is expected after the crash, which saw bitcoin drop to a $60,000 low. “Apart from Covid, bitcoin doesn't usually show V-shaped recoveries after strong capitulations,” he told CoinDesk. “The most likely case is that we continue to move sideways to down.” Still, Dragosch pointed to signs for optimism. Prediction markets now place the odds of the U.S.'s Clarity Act passing in 2026 near 80%. He described the bill as a major catalyst for alternative tokens such as ether (ETH) and solana (SOL). Bitwise’s internal Cryptoasset Sentiment Index registered neutral, he added. “On the macro front, bitcoin continues to exhibit significant 'discounts' with respect to global money supply, gold, and the overall macro growth outlook. Bitcoin also exhibits a significant undervaluation relative to global Bitcoin ETP flows,” Dragosch said. “ETP flows are still relatively weak, but once risk appetite and flows return, this suggests we could see a significant catch-up in bitcoin.” Caution lingers, however. Data from CryptoQuant shows large bitcoin holders have moved coins onto Binance at record levels. Such transfers often signal intent to sell, increasing the supply on spot markets and potentially weighing on prices. Dragosch rejected concerns bitcoin may be a “canary in the macro coal mine,” signaling tighter liquidity and rising recession risk. The U.S. yield curve and other forward indicators suggest continued money supply growth, he said. Global liquidity is expanding at more than 10% a year, a backdrop that has not typically aligned with extended bitcoin bear markets, he added. Indeed, prediction markets have reduced the odds of a recession in the U.S. this year. The chance of that happening plunged from over 40% in mid-2025 to just above 20%. The crypto market may nevertheless see volatility rise into the weekend. Later today, U.S. core PCE index data is released, which could provide clues on future Fed policy direction. Traders are bracing for a tight rise from previous figures. While higher inflation traditionally supports the case for scarce assets, a hawkish reaction from the Fed could drive the dollar higher, further pressuring risk assets into the weekend. Stay alert! Read more: For analysis of today's activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today What to Watch For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk's " Crypto Week Ahead ". Crypto Nothing scheduled. Macro Feb. 20. 8:30 a.m.: U.S. Core PCE price index MoM for December est. 0.4% (Prev. 0.2%); YoY est. 2.9% (Prev. 2.8%) Feb. 20, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. GDP growth rate QoQ Adv for Q4 est. 3. (Prev. 4.4%) Feb. 20, 9:45 a.m.: U.S. S&P Global manufacturing PMI flash for February est. 52.6 (Prev. 52.4). Feb. 20, 10 a.m.: U.S. Michigan consumer sentiment final for February est. 57.3 (Prev. 56.4) Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data) Nothing scheduled. Token Events For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk's " Crypto Week Ahead ". Governance votes & calls Aavegotchi DAO is voting to consolidate assets from depleted wallets into the Liquidity wallet to simplify operations. Voting ends Feb. 22. Fluid DAO is voting to withdraw 1 million GHO and 1 million FLUID from the treasury to the Team Multisig to fund JupLend rewards and protocol incentives. Voting ends Feb. 22. GMX is voting on a proposal to implement tiered trading fee discounts for stakers and a staker-weighted trading leaderboard. Voting ends Feb. 22. Unlocks Feb. 20: LayerZero (ZRO) to unlock 5.98% of its circulating supply worth $48.33 million. Feb. 20: Kaito (KAITO) to unlock 10.64% of its circulating supply worth $10.77 million. Token Launches No major launches. Conferences For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk's " Crypto Week Ahead ". Day 4 of 5: ETHDenver Market Movements BTC is up 1.97% from 4 p.m. ET Thursday at $68,220.42 (24hrs: +1.98%) ETH is up 1.1% at $1,969.19 (24hrs: +0.12%) CoinDesk 20 is up 1.5% at 1,960.80 (24hrs: +1.14%) Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 2 bps at 2.83% BTC funding rate is at -0.0047% (-5.1936% annualized) on Binance DXY is unchanged at 97.95 Gold futures are up 0.97% at $5,046.00 Silver futures are up 3.9% at $80.66 Nikkei 225 closed down 1.12% at 56,825.70 Hang Seng closed down 1.1% at 26,413.35 FTSE is up 0.69% at 10,700.09 Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.48% at 6,088.42 DJIA closed on Thursday down 0.54% at 49,395.16 S&P 500 closed down 0.28% at 6,861.89 Nasdaq Composite closed down 0.31% at 22,682.73 S&P/TSX Composite closed up 0.61% at 33,594.98 S&P 40 Latin America closed up 0.83% at 3,738.74 U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is down 0.4 bps at 4.071% E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.2% at 6,890.75 E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.29% at 24,930.00 E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are up 0.12% at 49,516.00 Bitcoin Stats BTC Dominance: 59.04% (+0.4%) Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.02883 (-0.93%) Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 1,046 EH/s Hashprice (spot): $29.88 Total fees: 2.36 BTC / $157,285 CME Futures Open Interest: 119,935 BTC BTC priced in gold: 13.5 oz. BTC vs gold market cap: 4.54% Technical Analysis (TradingView) The chart shows bitcoin's weekly price moves against the dollar. BTC/USD weekly is still trading at its 200-week exponential moving average, waiting for a confirmation by the end of the week. There are no clear RSI divergences or signs of a bottom so far. Crypto Equities Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Thursday at $165.94 (+1.15%), +1.98% at $169.23 in pre-market Circle Internet (CRCL): closed at $61.92 (-1.95%), +2.08% at $63.21 Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $21.63 (-0.46%) Bullish (BLSH): closed at $32.37 (+1.63%), -1.05% at $32.03 MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $7.96 (+6.13%), +1.63% at $8.09 Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $16.22 (+4.71%), +1.36% at $16.44 Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $17.98 (+4.11%) CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $9.82 (+5.93%), +1.43% at $9.96 CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $40.69 (+1.62%) Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $10.42 (+5.47%) Crypto Treasury Companies Strategy (MSTR): closed at $129.45 (+3.39%), +2.48% at $132.66 Strive (ASST): closed at $8.12 (+0.87%), +0.99% at $8.20 SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $6.80 (+3.03%) Upexi (UPXI): closed at $0.67 (-3.33%), +3.48% at $0.69 Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.10 (+0.00%) ETF Flows Spot BTC ETFs Daily net flows: -$165.8 million Cumulative net flows: $53.91 billion Total BTC holdings ~1.26 million Spot ETH ETFs Daily net flows: -$130.1 million Cumulative net flows: $11.55 billion Total ETH holdings ~5.73 million Source: Farside Investors While You Were Sleeping U.S. amasses biggest force since 2003 as Trump pushes Iran on deal (Bloomberg): The U.S. military is stationing a vast array of forces in the Middle East, with President Trump saying Iran has 10 to 15 days to sign a nuclear deal or it will be “unfortunate for them.” U.S. economic growth likely slowed to a still-brisk pace in the fourth quarter (Reuters): The anticipated slowdown in U.S. GDP will follow back-to-back quarters of robust growth. The Commerce Department will publish on Friday its advance estimate for the fourth quarter. Ripple's Brad Garlinghouse says CLARITY bill has '90% chance' of passing by April (CoinDesk): Garlinghouse said he sees a 90% chance that the Clarity Act will pass by the end of April, signaling growing confidence that U.S. lawmakers may finally deliver regulatory certainty. Crypto Daybook Americas More For You Zoomex: Precise Systems of Fairness and Transparency by Design By CoinDesk Jan 31, 2026 Commissioned by Zoomex Read full story More For You Crypto markets feel the chill, Base, ether.fi reorganize layer-2 landscape By Jacob Joseph | Edited by Sheldon Reback 23 hours ago Your day-ahead look for Feb. 19, 2026 What to know : You are viewing Crypto Daybook Americas, your morning briefing on what happened in the crypto markets overnight and what's expected during the coming day. Crypto Daybook Americas will kickstart your morning with comprehensive insights. 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