Glassnode's analysis indicates bitcoin accumulation is notably weaker than past significant drops (e.g., nov 2022, luna, ftx crashes). this suggests less strong buying support at current price levels from large entities, which historically precedes robust recoveries.
The analysis is based on data from glassnode, a highly reputable on-chain analytics firm. the reporting source claims strict editorial policy, industry expert review, and high standards.
The weaker accumulation trend score suggests a lack of strong demand, particularly from larger players, at these price levels. this indicates that a swift, strong bounce is less likely than in previous instances of market bottoms, potentially leading to further consolidation or downward pressure as the market seeks a firmer low. btc trading below most on-chain pricing models further supports this.
The article explicitly states that the 'lack of demand this time around will mean that bitcoin will take some time to settle into a low,' indicating that the immediate post-drop period might see continued weakness or consolidation rather than a rapid recovery.
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has highlighted how accumulation during the recent Bitcoin drop has looked weaker than some past crashes. Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score Doesn’t Indicate Strong Accumulation In a new post on X, Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Accumulation Trend Score of Bitcoin. This indicator tracks whether the BTC investors are accumulating or distributing right now. Related Reading Bitcoin Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator Drops To Deepest Level Since FTX Bottom 21 hours ago The metric determines this by taking into account for two factors: the balance changes happening in the wallets of the holders and the size of the balances themselves. The latter factor means that larger entities have a higher weightage in the indicator. When the value of the Accumulation Trend Score is greater than 0.5, it means the large holders (or a large number of small entities) are in a phase of accumulation. The closer is the metric to the 1.0 level, the stronger is this behavior. On the other hand, the indicator being under the 0.5 mark suggests distribution is dominant on the network. The selling can be considered the strongest at a value of zero. Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the 7-day moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score over the last few years: Looks like the market has been participating in a slight amount of accumulation recently | Source: Glassnode on X As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score took a yellow shade as the cryptocurrency’s January recovery rally topped out and a move downward followed. This suggests that the investors were distributing. As the coin has stabilized above $65,000 recently, the indicator’s color has changed to a darker one, implying it has broken back above the 0.5 mark. While this is a sign that there has been some accumulation at the post-crash price levels, the degree of it hasn’t been too high. From the chart, it’s apparent that this behavior is in contrast to how the market reacted to the November crash. Back then, the Accumulation Trend Score took a deep purple shade, indicating an aggressive amount of accumulation from the big-money hands. The LUNA and FTX crashes from the 2022 bear market were also met with a similarly extreme accumulation behavior. It now remains to be seen whether the lack of demand this time around will mean that Bitcoin will take some time to settle into a low. Related Reading 46% Of Bitcoin Supply Now In Loss—What It Could Take For A Bottom 1 day ago In some other news, Glassnode has shared an update in an X post on how the major Bitcoin on-chain price models are looking. The price of the coin seems to have plummeted below most of the levels | Source: Glassnode on X As is visible in the graph, Bitcoin’s decline has meant that its price is now trading under all major on-chain pricing models except for the Realized Price , corresponding to the cost basis of the network participants as a whole. This level is currently located at $54,900. BTC Price Bitcoin has stagnated since its recovery from the $60,000 low as its price is still floating around the $68,000 level. The trend in the price of the coin over the last month | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com