Silicon valley bank (svb) predicts 2026 as the 'year of integration' for crypto, moving from pilot projects to core financial infrastructure. this includes accelerated institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, stablecoins becoming the 'internet's dollar,' tokenization of real-world assets, and ai integration. these factors are expected to drive significant capital inflow and utility, profoundly impacting the entire digital asset ecosystem.
Svb, now part of first citizens bank, maintains over 500 relationships with crypto companies and venture firms. their '2026 outlook report' is based on direct industry insights and data, making their projections highly credible regarding institutional trends and market structure.
The shift from 'expectations to production' and deeper embedding of digital assets into payments, custody, treasury management, and capital markets will create sustained demand and reduce speculative volatility, leading to long-term price appreciation across the crypto market. increased institutional capital and regulatory clarity further support this bullish outlook.
The integration of crypto into traditional financial systems, scaling of pilot programs, m&a consolidation, and regulatory alignment are structural, multi-year processes. the full impact of these changes will unfold over an extended period, shaping the market well beyond 2026.
Finance Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email From Wall Street to Web3: This is crypto’s year of integration, Silicon Valley Bank says From bank-led stablecoins to tokenized T-bills and AI-powered wallets, digital assets will move from pilot projects to financial plumbing this year. By Will Canny , AI Boost | Edited by Sheldon Reback Feb 16, 2026, 3:00 p.m. Make us preferred on Google From Wall Street to Web3: 2026 is crypto’s integration year. (Unsplash, modified by CoinDesk) What to know : Silicon Valley Bank's Anthony Vassallo says institutional adoption of crypto is accelerating, pushing bigger venture capital checks, more bank-led custody and lending, and deeper M&A consolidation. Stablecoins are emerging as the “internet’s dollar,” fueled by clearer regulation and enterprise demand for payments and settlement. Tokenized real-world assets and AI-driven crypto applications are shifting blockchain from speculation to core infrastructure, the bank said. Last year restored crypto’s institutional footing. This year, according to Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), is when it becomes more integrated into the financial system. Regulatory clarity improved in 2025, institutional engagement accelerated and capital markets reopened. Now the focus is shifting from price cycles to infrastructure as digital assets become more deeply embedded into payments, custody, treasury management and capital markets. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms & conditions and privacy policy . "Regardless of how tangible or visible, all the forces shaping crypto today share a common thread: Crypto is moving from expectations to production. Pilot programs are scaling and capital is consolidating," Anthony Vassallo, senior vice president of crypto at SVB, told CoinDesk in an interview. The bank, which maintains more than 500 relationships with crypto companies and venture firms investing in the sector, says institutional capital, consolidation, stablecoins, tokenization and AI are converging to reshape how money moves. After its 2023 collapse , SVB was bought by North Carolina–based First Citizens Bank and now operates within a top-20 U.S. bank with $230 billion in assets. In 2025, it added 2,100 clients and ended the year with $108 billion in total client funds and $44 billion in loans. Fewer experiments, more conviction “The suits and ties have arrived,” according to the bank's 2026 outlook report . Venture funding in U.S. crypto companies rose 44% last year to $7.9 billion, according to PitchBook data cited by SVB. While the deal count fell, median check sizes climbed to $5 million as investors concentrated capital into stronger teams. Seed valuations jumped 70% from 2023 levels. The bank warns that demand for institutional-grade crypto companies could outstrip the number of investable firms. "In 2026, conditions are ripe for continued growth in VC investment in crypto. As institutional adoption accelerates, driving larger venture capital checks, we expect continued capital concentration in fewer companies with investors prioritizing higher-quality projects and follow-ons into proven teams," Vassallo said. "For end users, the result will be a more seamless experience across everyday financial interactions, from sending cross-border payments to managing an investment portfolio." Corporate balance sheets are reinforcing the shift. At least 172 public companies held bitcoin BTC $ 68,422.73 in the third quarter of 2025, up 40% from the second, collectively controlling roughly 5% of circulating supply, according to data referenced by SVB. A new class of digital asset treasury companies, firms that treat crypto accumulation as a core strategy, has emerged. The bank expects consolidation as standards tighten and volatility tests business models . Meanwhile, traditional banks are moving deeper into the sector. JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank by assets, plans to accept bitcoin and ether ETH $ 1,967.96 as collateral, Bloomberg reported last year. SoFi Technologies offers direct digital asset trading . U.S. Bank provides custody through NYDIG. SVB expects more institutions to roll out lending, custody and settlement products as compliance guardrails solidify. M&A and the race to full-stack crypto Why build when you can buy? More than 140 venture capital-backed crypto companies were acquired in the four quarters ending in September, a 59% year-over-year jump, according to the bank's analysis of PitchBook data. Coinbase’s $2.9 billion acquisition of Deribit and Kraken’s $1.5 billion purchase of NinjaTrader underscored the scale. The trend extends to banking charters. In 2025, 18 companies applied for charters from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), most of them blockchain-enabled firms. The OCC granted conditional approval to digital-asset-focused trust banks including custody provider BitGo (BTGO), Circle Internet (CRCL), the company behind the second-largest stablecoin, trading platform Fidelity Digital Assets, stablecoin issuer Paxos and payments network Ripple. For SVB, that marks a turning point: stablecoin and custody infrastructure moving inside the federal banking perimeter. The bank expects traditional financial institutions to accelerate dealmaking rather than risk being disrupted by vertically integrated crypto-native rivals. "We expect M&A to set a record again in 2026. As digital asset capabilities become table stakes for financial services, companies will focus on acquisition strategies instead of building products from scratch," Vassallo says. "To meet market demands ranging from stablecoin capabilities to full-stack crypto banks, exchanges, custodians, infrastructure providers and brokerages will consolidate into multiproduct companies," he said. Stablecoins become the 'internet’s dollar' Stablecoins, SVB said, are evolving from trading tools into digital cash. With near-instant settlement and lower transaction costs than interbank transfer system ACH or card networks, dollar-backed tokens are attractive for treasury operations, cross-border payments and business-to-business settlement. Regulatory clarity is accelerating adoption. The U.S. GENIUS Act , passed in July, established federal standards for stablecoin issuance, including 1:1 reserve backing and monthly disclosures. Similar frameworks are in place in the EU, U.K., Singapore and the UAE. Beginning in 2027, only permitted entities such as banks or approved nonbanks will be allowed to issue compliant stablecoins in the U.S. SVB expects issuers to spend 2026 aligning products with federal oversight. Banks are already experimenting. Société Générale introduced a euro stablecoin . JPMorgan expanded JPM Coin to public blockchains . A group including PNC, Citi and Wells Fargo is exploring a joint token initiative . Venture dollars are following. Investment in stablecoin-focused companies surged to more than $1.5 billion in 2025, up from less than $50 million in 2019, according to SVB. In 2026, the bank expects tokenized dollars to move into core enterprise systems, embedded in treasury workflows, collateral management and programmable payments. Tokenization and AI Real-world asset tokenization is scaling. Onchain representations of cash, Treasuries and money-market instruments exceeded $36 billion in 2025, according to data cited by the bank. Funds from BlackRock (BLK) and Franklin Templeton have amassed hundreds of millions in assets, settling flows directly onchain. ETF issuers and asset managers are testing blockchain-based wrappers to reduce transfer costs and enable intraday settlement. Robinhood (HOOD) now has tokenized stock exposure for European users and plans U.S. expansion. SVB sees private and public markets converging on shared settlement rails, with tokenization expanding beyond Treasuries into private markets and consumer-facing applications. Then there's the convergence with AI. In 2025, 40 cents of every venture dollar invested in crypto went to companies also building AI products, up from 18 cents the year prior, according to SVB’s analysis. Startups are building agent-to-agent commerce protocols, and major blockchains are integrating AI into wallets. Autonomous agents capable of transacting in stablecoins could enable machines to negotiate and settle payments without human intervention. Blockchain-based provenance and verification tools are being developed to address AI’s trust deficit. The consumer impact may be subtle. SVB predicts that next year's breakout apps won’t brand themselves as crypto. They will look like fintech products, with stablecoin settlement, tokenized assets and AI agents operating quietly in the background. From expectation to infrastructure Silicon Valley Bank’s overarching message is to treat crypto as infrastructure. Pilot programs are scaling. Capital is concentrating. Banks are entering. Regulators are defining the perimeter. Blockchain technology is poised to underpin treasury operations, collateral flows, cross-border payments and parts of capital markets. Volatility will remain, and headlines will continue to move prices. But the deeper narrative, the bank argues, is about the plumbing. "In 2025, momentum in onchain representations of cash, treasuries and money market instruments carried real-world assets into the financial mainstream," Vassallo said. "This year, cryptocurrency will be treated as infrastructure." Read more: R3 bets on Solana to bring institutional yield onchain Silicon Valley Bank Stablecoins Tokenization Institutional Adoption Exclusive AI Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards . For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy . More For You Harvard cuts bitcoin exposure by 20%, adds new ether position By Francisco Rodrigues | Edited by Sheldon Reback 26 minutes ago The shift may be due to complex market dynamics, potentially reflecting the unwinding of a trade that capitalized on bitcoin treasury companies trading at premiums to their mNAV. What to know : Harvard University made its first investment in ether, purchasing nearly 3.9 million shares of the iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA) while reducing its stake in the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). The shift may be due to market dynamics, potentially reflecting the unwinding of a strategy that capitalized on bitcoin treasury companies trading at premiums to their mNAV. Institutions cut ownership of IBIT shares to 230 million in the fourth quarter from 417 million in the third Read full story Latest Crypto News Harvard cuts bitcoin exposure by 20%, adds new ether position 26 minutes ago Nexo re-enters the U.S. market three years after its ‘dead end’ exit 31 minutes ago Bitcoin could fall to $10,000 as U.S. recession risk builds, Mike McGlone says 54 minutes ago Hive, Riot earnings reports, Fed rate-decision minutes: Crypto Week Ahead 2 hours ago Metaplanet operating profit to rise 81% in 2026 after soaring 17-fold last year on options writing 3 hours ago Animoca Brands clears major regulatory hurdle with new Dubai license 3 hours ago Top Stories Strategy says it can survive even if bitcoin drops to $8,000 and will 'equitize' debt 5 hours ago Ether steadies after $540 million sell wave to outperform wider crypto market 4 hours ago Crypto market drowns in red as bitcoin falls to $68,000 8 hours ago Binance's CZ echoes Consensus panelists on lack of privacy blocking crypto adoption 6 hours ago Russia's daily crypto turnover is over $650 million, Ministry of Finance says 5 hours ago In this article BTC BTC $ 68,422.73 ◢ 1.12 % ETH ETH $ 1,967.96 ◢ 2.20 %