The u.s. consumer price index (cpi) report is a major macroeconomic event. its outcome (higher or lower than forecast) will directly influence bond yields and the dollar, which in turn impacts risk assets like bitcoin and ether. the market is currently consolidating, awaiting this catalyst for significant price movement.
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Bitcoin and ether are currently showing little change, consolidating as the market awaits the u.s. cpi report. while derivatives show 'tentative optimism' with positive funding rates and rising institutional basis, there's also a 'panic premium' for immediate downside protection, indicating high uncertainty. the cpi report is the primary catalyst for a definitive short-term move, making the immediate direction neutral.
The u.s. cpi report is an immediate, scheduled event that will likely trigger a rapid price response shortly after its release, influencing market direction in the hours to days following.
Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Bitcoin, ether little changed before U.S. inflation report Derivatives show tentative optimism, with cleaned-up leverage, positive funding rates and rising institutional basis, even though traders are still paying a premium for short-term downside protection. By Francisco Rodrigues , Saksham Diwan | Edited by Sheldon Reback Feb 13, 2026, 11:51 a.m. Make us preferred on Google U.S. inflation data is due later Friday (Markus Winkler/Unsplash modified by CoinDesk) What to know : Bitcoin briefly tested $67,000 and, despite being higher on the day, remains on track for a fourth straight weekly decline. Derivatives show tentative optimism, with cleaned-up leverage, positive funding rates and rising institutional basis, even though traders are still paying a premium for short-term downside protection. Solana-based memecoin launchpad Pump.fun’s PUMP token gained over 5% after the platform introduced GitHub-linked fee allocation tools. Bitcoin BTC $ 67,017.98 rose to test $67,000 early Friday and was quickly rebuffed, though it remains about 1% higher since midnight UTC with ether ETH $ 1,957.99 rising half as much. The derivatives market, too, is showing signs of positivity. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20) is little changed, up just 0.7% in the period. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms & conditions and privacy policy . While the gains mark a recovery from yesterday's U.S. trading, which saw the cryptocurrency market fall back toward last week's lows, bitcoin is still on track for a fourth straight week of declines. That's the longest falling streak since mid-November. Meantime, a slowdown in trading and fading volatility are weighing on volumes. It's likely that traders are looking to the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) print coming later today for hints on direction. A higher-than-forecast reading could lift bond yields and the dollar, putting additional pressure on risk assets. A lower reading might signal the easier conditions that are more conducive to risk-taking. Even so, it will take quite a jump to push the bitcoin price to $85,000, a level that Deribiti's chief commercial officer, Jean-David Péquignot, said would signal the largest cryptocurrency's long-term rally is no longer "broken." Derivatives The market is showing signs of renewed life as open interest (OI) dropped to $15.5 billion, suggesting a cleanup of late-cycle leverage. Perpetual funding rates have flipped neutral to positive across all venues, now ranging between 0% and 8%. This broader optimism is being mirrored by institutions, as the three-month annualized basis spiked to just over 3%, signaling the first real uptick in professional conviction. The bitcoin options market shows returning call volume at 65%, even as the one-week 25-delta skew eased to 17.9%. Despite this "bottom-fishing" activity, the implied volatility (IV) term structure remains in short-term backwardation, confirming that traders are still paying a high "panic premium" for immediate downside protection. Coinglass data shows $256 million in 24-hour liquidations, split 69-31 between longs and shorts. Bitcoin ($112 million), ether ($52 million) and others ($16 million) were the leaders in terms of notional liquidations. The Binance liquidation heatmap indicates $68,800 as a core liquidation level to monitor in case of a price rise. Token Talk PUMP, the token of Solana-based memecoin launchpad Pump.fun, is up more than 5% in the past 24 hours. The platform rolled out a new way for token communities to allocate fees directly through its mobile app with the inclusion of GitHub account integration. The integration offers a simpler way for creators to assign automatic payouts generated by a token's community, and more social features are expected to be introduced in the future. In practice, this means communities can start supporting creators on GitHub through a portion of the fees generated. To receive the fees, creators will need to claim them through the platform’s mobile app. Pump.fun was largely behind a major memecoin trading frenzy early last year that saw its monthly trading volume surge past $11 billion. Volume has since plunged to $1 billion last month, according to DeFiLlama data . Markets Crypto Markets Today Derivatives Altcoins Más para ti Accelerating Convergence Between Traditional and On-Chain Finance in 2026? Por CoinDesk 30 ene 2026 Commissioned by Societe Generale-FORGE Leer la noticia completa Más para ti Bitcoin’s long-term rally is ‘broken’ until it reclaims $85,000, Deribit executive says Por Omkar Godbole | Editado por Sheldon Reback hace 1 hora A bitcoin price drop to $58,000 could reignite buying momentum. Lo que debes saber : Bitcoin's long-term rally is "broken" and will remain so until the price climbs above $85,000, said Jean-David Péquignot, chief commercial officer of derivatives exchange Deribit. Péquignot said that if bitcoin closes below the key $60,000 support level, the next likely target is its 200-week simple moving average near $58,000. The cryptocurrency has been trading between $60,000 and $70,000 for about a week. 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