Standard chartered, a major bank, has significantly cut its 2026 bitcoin price forecast and warned of a potential drop to $50,000 in the near term, citing persistent etf outflows and a challenging macroeconomic environment. this creates strong bearish sentiment.
The analysis comes from a reputable traditional financial institution (standard chartered) and a recognized analyst (geoff kendrick), based on an institutional client note. this provides a credible and informed perspective.
The bank explicitly warns of bitcoin potentially testing $50,000 and ethereum sliding toward $1,400 due to continued etf outflows and delayed federal reserve rate cuts, indicating significant near-term downside risk.
The immediate warning about a potential drop to $50,000 is contingent on current market conditions like ongoing etf outflows and macro pressures, suggesting a short-term risk horizon.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available. Read U.TODAY on Google News Geoff Kendrick of Standard Chartered warns that Bitcoin could test $50,000 before recovering, as ETF outflows and a weaker macroeconomic environment pressure prices. The bank reduced its 2026 Bitcoin price forecast from $150,000 to $100,000, citing deteriorating risk appetite and fading expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. The information about the outlook was provided by Walter Bloomberg , citing the original client-only note of Standard Chartered. Advertisement STANCHART CUTS BITCOIN TARGET, WARNS OF FURTHER DROPS Standard Chartered slashed its end-2026 Bitcoin target to $100,000 from $150,000, its second cut in three months, and warned prices could fall to $50,000 before recovering. The bank cited ETF outflows, a weaker macro… pic.twitter.com/xZQTfT5bNt — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) February 12, 2026 At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading near $67,869 after hitting a 16-month low of $60,000 last week, marking a decline of more than 40% from its October peak. Ether changed hands at around $1,984 after reaching $1,751, a nine-month low. HOT Stories Morning Crypto Report: XRP Gains Momentum Ahead of CPI, Binance's 15,000 Bitcoin Fund Records First Profit, 3 Key Solana (SOL) Updates for February 2026 Detailed Ripple's CTO Emeritus Calls Bitcoin 'Technological Dead End' Kendrick now sees Ethereum potentially sliding toward $1,400 before stabilizing. He characterizes the current phase as vulnerable to further downside if capital continues to exit digital asset investment products. Advertisement Why $50,000 is now in play The central driver behind the revised outlook, as Kendrick frames it, is ETF-driven pressure. As economic data point to a softer growth environment and markets scale back expectations for Fed easing until at least June, nearly $8 billion have been withdrawn from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs . In this context, Bitcoin’s correlation with broader risk assets has become apparent again. If redemptions persist, spot sales underlying ETF flows could push the asset toward the $50,000 level, which is viewed as a technical and psychological test zone. Standard Chartered emphasizes that the current decline has been more orderly than previous crypto downturns, with less evidence of disorderly leverage cascades. Advertisement You Might Also Like Thu, 02/12/2026 - 14:39 Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Hits Lowest Level Since China Ban By Godfrey Benjamin Bear Case Continued ETF outflows intensify. Fed rate cuts postponed further into the second half of 2026. Broader equity weakness affects digital assets. Bitcoin tests $50,000, Ether approaches $1,400. Bull Case ETF flows stabilize and gradually return. Clearer Fed easing timeline restores allocation to risk assets. Long-term institutional adoption thesis remains intact. Bitcoin recovers toward $100,000 by the end of 2026. All things considered, the bank’s downgrade reframes the path forward as conditional on macro stabilization and ETF demand recovery, rather than speculative expansion alone. #Bitcoin #Standard Chartered #Bitcoin News #Spot Bitcoin ETF