Bitcoin is currently trading in a tight range under $70,000, with market participants awaiting wednesday's u.s. january jobs report. this macro economic data is a significant catalyst that could break the current consolidation, especially if it deviates significantly from forecasts, influencing expectations for federal reserve monetary policy.
The information comes from coindesk, a well-regarded crypto news source, referencing comments from trump administration officials regarding potential jobs data. the analysis of market mechanics (low spot volume, derivative-driven moves) from kaiko and wintermute also adds credibility.
While recent patterns show bitcoin sometimes declining despite fed rate cuts, the general market expectation is that weaker-than-expected jobs data could lead to increased anticipation of fed rate cuts. this typically creates a 'risk-on' environment, which is traditionally bullish for assets like bitcoin, especially given its current tight range and sensitivity to leveraged positions. however, the derivative-driven market could also amplify volatility in either direction.
The u.s. jobs report is scheduled for wednesday, making its impact immediate as markets react to the data release and subsequent analysis. any sustained trend might develop over the following days.
Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Bitcoin remains in tight range under $70,000 ahead of Wednesday's U.S. jobs report Two Trump administration officials suggested markets should brace for weaker-than-expected January employment data. By Helene Braun | Edited by Stephen Alpher Feb 10, 2026, 4:01 p.m. Make us preferred on Google Bitcoin in tight range ahead of jobs numbers (TyliJura/Pixabay) What to know : Bitcoin and crypto in general slipped around the U.S. stock market open, but quickly recovered, with BTC returning to above $69,000. Analysts say bitcoin's latest drawdown, the steepest since the 2024 halving, has come on low spot trading volumes, suggesting retail investors have mostly stepped aside while leveraged derivatives drive price moves. Wednesday will bring the closely-watched U.S. employment data for January, and two Trump administration officials suggested the numbers could be weaker than forecast. Following the usual recent pattern, crypto markets fell sharply as U.S. stocks opened for trade Tuesday, but recovered most of those losses in a similarly quick fashion. In mid-morning trade, bitcoin BTC $ 68,747.00 was at $69,200, down marginally from 24 hours ago. Ether ETH $ 2,000.64 underperformed, down 1.8%, with similar declines in XRP XRP $ 1.4107 and Solana SOL $ 84.14 . STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms & conditions and privacy policy . While bitcoin's current drawdown is the most significant since the 2024 halving, trading volume stayed low during the decline, suggesting retail investors stepped back rather than rushed to sell, according to Kaiko. The "market [is now] approaching critical technical support levels that will determine whether the four-year cycle framework remains intact," Kaiko research analyst Laurens Fraussen wrote in a report Tuesday. Trading firm Wintermute expects bitcoin to remain in the current range as it's still in price discovery. Recent bitcoin moves have been driven by leveraged derivatives rather than spot demand, the firm said, with light spot volumes leaving prices sensitive to crowded positions. Wintermute pointed to last Friday’s rebound as a short squeeze in perpetual futures and said the return of volatility caught investors off guard after a period of complacency. January jobs report on tap Originally scheduled for last Friday, the government’s January Nonfarm Payrolls Report is now coming out on Wednesday morning due to the brief federal shutdown last month. Economist forecasts are for 70,000 jobs to have been added, up from 50,000 in December. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.4%. White House trade counselor Peter Navarro, however, said in a Fox interview Tuesday that expectations need to be significantly revised lower. His comments follow those of White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett, who advised markets not to panic on weak jobs data. Those remarks appear to have been noted by the bond market, where the 10-year Treasury yield is lower by 5 basis points to 4.14%. Lower interest rates and easier Federal Reserve monetary policy are typically assumed to be good for assets like bitcoin, but it hasn’t been the case this cycle, with bitcoin plunging even as the Fed has trimmed rates by 75 basis points in recent months. Bitcoin News In this article BTC BTC $ 68,747.00 ◢ 1.59 % ETH ETH $ 2,000.64 ◢ 2.43 % XRP XRP $ 1.4107 ◢ 2.63 %