The article presents a highly bearish perspective from tony severino, suggesting bitcoin may have hit a 16-year cyclical peak, supported by multiple bearish technical indicators. this contrasts with other experts like arthur hayes, who attributes the recent crash to external factors, and alex thorn, who suggests a potential bottom at the 200-week ma.
The news source states a strict editorial policy focused on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality, created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed. it cites specific crypto experts (tony severino, peter brandt, arthur hayes, alex thorn) and their detailed reasoning.
Tony severino's analysis points to a major cyclical peak, citing decreasing white candlesticks, black engulfing more white candles, a doji at the top of a rising wedge, an in-progress evening star (bearish reversal), bearish crossing fischer transform and stochastic, and rsi falling below 70 on the highest timeframe. peter brandt also opines on a bear market, predicting a drop to $42,000. while arthur hayes suggests external factors for the crash and alex thorn sees $60,000 as a potential bottom (200-week ma), the core argument presented as a 'peak' is strongly bearish.
The central claim of tony severino's analysis is a '16-year cyclical peak,' which implies a significant, long-term trend reversal rather than a short-term correction.
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Crypto expert Tony Severino has opined that Bitcoin isn’t just showing signs of a yearly top but also that the BTC price may have hit a 16-year cyclical peak. This comes amid the flagship crypto’s recent crash to $60,000, which sparked fears of a bear market . Bitcoin May Be Showing Signs Of A Peak Amid BTC Price Crash To $60,000 In an X post , Severino alluded to the yearly Bitcoin chart, which he said looks like a 16-year cyclical peak rather than just a yearly top. The expert also outlined several reasons this appears to be a major cyclical top for the BTC price. First, he noted that the white candlesticks have been decreasing in size over time, while black candlesticks engulf more white candles with each appearance. Related Reading Bitcoin Price Just Hit A 15-Year Trendline After The Crash, What This Means 1 day ago Furthermore, Severino highlighted the Doji at the top of a rising wedge pattern while the Evening Star is in progress, which is a bearish reversal signal for the BTC price. Meanwhile, the Fischer Transform is crossing bearish with divergence, and the Stochastic is crossing bearish after being rejected from 80. He added that Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is falling back below 70 after making it above this level on the highest timeframe chart. Source: Chart from Tony Severino on X His analysis comes as the BTC price continues to decline, suggesting the crypto market may be in a bear market after topping last October. Bitcoin dropped to as low as $60,000 earlier this week, suffering its largest daily decline since the FTX collapse . Veteran trader Peter Brandt has also opined that Bitcoin is in a bear market, predicting that it could still drop to as low as $42,000 before it sees a bottom. Reason For The Recent BTC Crash BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has commented on the reason for this recent Bitcoin crash, suggesting that it was due to external factors rather than part of an ongoing bear market. In an X post , he stated that the BTC price dump was probably due to a dealer hedging off the back of BlackRock’s BTC ETF structured products. Notably, BlackRock’s IBIT saw a record trading volume of $10 billion on the day of this crash to $60,000. Related Reading Here’s What To Expect If The Bitcoin Price Maintains Support Above $74,400 3 days ago Hayes’ comment comes on the back of Bitcoin’s rebound above $70,000 , with the flagship crypto recording one of its largest ever daily gains yesterday following the crash to $60,000. Galaxy Digital’s Head of Research, Alex Thorn, suggested that the drop to $60,000 may mark the bottom for the BTC price. This came as he noted that the 200-week MA, which is around $60,000, has historically been a strong entry point for long-term investors. At the time of writing, the BTC price is trading at around $70,000, up over 6% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC trading at $68,437 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com