Michael burry's comparison of current bitcoin movements to the 2021-2022 crash implies a significant downside potential, possibly towards the low $50,000s from current levels, which would be a substantial loss.
While michael burry is a renowned investor ('the big short'), market analysts are skeptical, highlighting that current market conditions (spot etfs, institutional liquidity) are fundamentally different from 2021-2022 (fed tightening, retail leverage), which might invalidate the direct comparison.
Burry's chart comparison and the implied price target suggest a further significant decline in bitcoin's value, reinforcing a bearish outlook based on historical patterns.
Market cycle comparisons, especially one involving a 'deeper reset before a durable bottom,' typically unfold over an extended period, suggesting a prolonged bearish phase or stabilization period rather than an immediate short-term crash.
Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email 'Big Short' Micheal Burry spots 2022 vibes in bitcoin crash The ‘Big Short’ investor compared the current slide with a one-time past cycle breakdown that saw BTC lose nearly half its value before stabilizing. By Shaurya Malwa | Edited by Omkar Godbole Feb 5, 2026, 11:44 a.m. Make us preferred on Google What to know : Michael Burry, famed for "The Big Short," shared a bitcoin chart comparing the current pullback to the 2021–22 slump, suggesting the possibility of a deeper reset before a durable bottom. The earlier cycle saw bitcoin slide from about $35,000 to below $20,000, which some interpret as implying potential downside toward the low $50,000s at today’s price levels. Analysts are divided over the validity of the analogy, noting that the prior crash occurred amid Fed tightening and retail-driven leverage, while today’s market is shaped by spot ETFs, institutional liquidity and broader cross-asset volatility. Perma-bears, much like their hyper bullish counterparts, love shoehorning patterns into the chaos to prop up their gloom. Take Michael Burry, the "Big Short" oracle famed for doomsday calls, who's now comparing bitcoin's ongoing bear market with the 2022 brutal plunge , ominously hinting this crash has legs to run much deeper. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms & conditions and privacy policy . In a post on X in early Asian hours Thursday, Burry highlighted similarities between BTC's drop from the October high of $126,000 to $70,000 and Bitcoin’s late 2021 and 2022 plunge, claiming in a chart that patterns match perfectly so far. The previous bear market saw bitcoin fall from around $35,000 to below $20,000 before stabilizing — a move that, when mapped onto today’s price levels, implies risk toward the low $50,000s. Burry did not spell out a target, but the visual comparison was enough to reignite debate over whether bitcoin is repeating an old script or whether the analogy is being stretched too far. Analysts and traders questioned whether a single historical instance qualifies as a meaningful pattern at all. “Is it a pattern if it happened once?” asked trading firm GSR, capturing a broader skepticism toward analog-driven market calls. The critique goes beyond semantics, however, bitcoin’s 2021–22 collapse unfolded under very different conditions, marked by aggressive Federal Reserve tightening, collapsing crypto-native leverage and heavy retail participation. On the other hand, today’s market is shaped by spot bitcoin ETFs, deeper institutional liquidity and a macro backdrop dominated less by rate hikes and more by cross-asset volatility tied to equities, commodities and artificial intelligence spending fears. Still, Burry’s comments have landed at a sensitive moment. Bitcoin has been whipsawing sharply this week, dropping below $71,000 before rebounding and then slipping again as global risk appetite deteriorated. Burry’s history adds weight to the discussion, even when his calls prove controversial. His approach often centers on shifts in positioning and market psychology rather than precise forecasts. In that sense, the chart functions less as a prediction and more as a warning about failed rebounds and dimmed conviction. Bitcoin News Michael Burry