Historical data over 13 years shows february is a historically strong month for bitcoin, with an average gain of +14.3% and a median of +12.2%. this trend is particularly evident after a negative january.
Analysis is based on 13 years of historical bitcoin price data, citing specific historical examples and data from cryptorank.
Despite a recent dip and 'etf bleed', the strong historical precedent of february being a 'green' month, especially following a 'red' january, suggests a high probability of a rebound. the article points to $80,600 as a key support level, a bounce from which could lead to $90,000s.
The analysis is focused on the month-to-month performance, specifically projecting price movement for february based on historical trends following january.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available. Read U.TODAY on Google News Bitcoin's print for January shows a 5.53% return for the month. We are closing in on $82,853 and pushing closer to the $80,600 support that has not been tested since the April 2025 cooldown. Advertisement But while January 2026 has left a bad taste in everyone's mouths, February could be the recovery month. The reason is not just blindsided bull hope; it is the price history of the cryptocurrency, as per CryptoRank . Source: CryptoRank If you look at the last 13 years of Bitcoin's history , you will see that February has been a good month in nine of those years. The average gain is +14.3%, and even the more established median figure is +12.2%. HOT Stories XRP Faces Brutal 11,348% Liquidation Imbalance: What Just Happened? Morning Crypto Report: XRP to $126? Abnormal TV Glitch Reveals Ultimate XRP Price Target, Bitcoin to $25,000: Legendary Trader Brandt Reveals Brutal Timeline, Shiba Inu Unlock Hits 41,128,246,331 SHIB on Major Exchange Ex-Ripple CTO: ‘Rational People’ Don’t See $100 XRP Yet Crypto Market Review: Shiba Inu (SHIB): Are There Any Chances? Is XRP Eyeing $1.50? Bitcoin (BTC) Under Bearish Control We are not just talking about a seasonal pattern here. Even in 2023's bear market rebound, February still saw +12.2% growth. In 2021, midbull phase? +36%. Back in 2014, right before the collapse? -33.7% — but that was the outlier. Advertisement Bitcoin price history proves that red January leads to green February Bitcoin's worst Januarys often turn into green Februarys. In 2022, there was a -16.9% change in January, followed by a +12.2% in February. In 2020, it dropped 8.21%, but then it bounced back with a 21.5% rebound. The year 2015 was rough with a -32.1% loss, but it was followed by a +17.2% gain. Even in 2018, after the blowoff, BTC still added +5.64% in February. BTC/USD by TradingView From one perspective, Bitcoin just dipped below $85,000 again, but from the other, it is still holding within the same $80,600-$107,000 range it has mostly been in since Q2, 2025. You Might Also Like Fri, 01/30/2026 - 14:07 Bitcoin Price Drops Below $83,000 as Satoshi Nakamoto Loses $8 Billion in BTC Value By Gamza Khanzadaev Advertisement The -2.12% daily drop we just saw is not just a one-time thing; it is a big deal, and it could totally change how things go in February. The ETF bleed is still going on, but the derivative pressure is easing up. If $80,600 holds, a bounce back into the $90,000s is not only possible but statistically likely. The market moves on structure, not slogans. And February's slogan, over 13 years, is still looking good. Yes, the chart's pretty bad, but the historical precedent is not. #Bitcoin #Bitcoin News #Bitcoin Price