Xrp is experiencing significant technical and on-chain stagnation. price is repeatedly rejected below the 200-day moving average, bounces are weakening, and critical on-chain metrics like transaction counts are no longer growing. this combination could lead to a deeper price decline.
The analysis is well-supported by technical chart patterns (200-day ma, support levels) and on-chain data (transaction counts, payment metrics), providing a robust, data-driven perspective.
The price is stuck in a downward trend, failing to recover key moving averages, and facing diminishing buyer conviction. on-chain euphoria appears to be priced in, with growth plateauing, suggesting potential for further downside, especially if the $1.85-$1.90 range breaks.
The immediate lack of new catalysts, coupled with stagnating on-chain growth and weakening price action, suggests a challenging short-term outlook for xrp unless significant market conditions or fundamental changes emerge quickly.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available. Read U.TODAY on Google News XRP's price has not recovered On-chain stagnation Advertisement Price action and on-chain data are no longer consistent, and XRP is about to enter an uncomfortable phase. The asset spent months creating excitement about network usage and ecosystem growth, but the most recent signals indicate that momentum may be slowing down just when the price needs confirmation the most. XRP's price has not recovered Technically speaking, XRP is still stuck in a more general downward trend. The price is repeatedly rejected below the 200-day mark and finds it difficult to maintain above short-term support in the $1.90-$2.00 range, as seen by the chart’s repeated failures to recover important moving averages. In a sense, this region has become a decision range. XRP/USDT Chart by TradingView For the time being, buyers are defending it, but each bounce is weaker than the last, suggesting a steady decline in conviction rather than renewed strength. In the absence of a clear breakout and consistent volume, XRP runs the risk of falling into another leg lower, especially if broader market conditions fail to provide support. HOT Stories 'Greatest Risk' to Bitcoin Identified by Strategy's Saylor XRP Hits Insane 8,700% Liquidation Imbalance, Ripple Snatches Major Banking Partnership, Saylor's Strategy Buying BTC Again, SHIB Volume Collapses — Top Weekly Crypto News Crypto Market Review: Shiba Inu's (SHIB) Back in Business, Ethereum (ETH) Must Decide, XRP Locked in on $2 U.Today Crypto Digest: XRP Hits ‘Extreme Fear’ Zone, Shiba Inu (SHIB) Volume Collapses to Lowest Level of 2026, Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Eyes 30% Breakout On-chain stagnation The on-chain backdrop is what makes the situation more worrisome. Over the past few months, there has been a sharp increase in XRP Ledger activity , with transaction counts and payment metrics rising quickly. The story of a fundamental revival was fueled by that surge and became a core part of the bullish narrative. Advertisement You Might Also Like Sat, 01/24/2026 - 15:55 XRP Price Analysis for January 24 By Denys Serhiichuk That same important metric, though, is currently stagnating. The number of payments has reached a standstill and is no longer growing at the rate that once supported optimistic projections. In the past, network activity typically preceded distribution rather than continuation when it peaked and ceased to grow while the price stayed high. Strong on-chain numbers draw attention, prices rise in anticipation, and then growth levels off while market participants continue to be unduly optimistic. This is typical late-cycle behavior . It is possible that the current euphoria on the chain is already priced in, leaving less room for upside surprise. Advertisement The market loses one of its most compelling bullish arguments if transaction growth does not pick back up. This does not imply that XRP will fail tomorrow, or that a sharp collapse is immediately inevitable. Consolidation is still feasible, particularly if the overall state of the market improves. However, there has been a noticeable change in risk. Upside now needs new catalysts and a resurgence of actual usage growth, not just lingering hype. As weak hands leave once the growth narrative breaks, a breakdown below the $1.85-$1.90 range could lead to a deeper retrace. #XRP #XRP Ledger