$0.20 XRP Nightmare Is One Candle Away as -88% Scenario Turns Real
Analysis
Price Impact
HighThe analysis suggests a potential 'brutal collapse' and an 88% drop to $0.20 if xrp fails to hold the monthly bollinger band midline as support, flipping it into resistance. this would invalidate all breakout bets since november 2024.
Trustworthiness
MedThe analysis is based on technical indicators (bollinger bands on the monthly chart) and presents a specific, albeit extreme, downside scenario. however, it's a 'nightmare scenario' and the article itself states it 'does not guarantee that $0.20 will be the outcome,' making it a speculative warning rather than a definitive forecast.
Price Direction
BearishThe primary focus of the article is a strong bearish outlook, detailing a potential drop to $0.20 if a critical technical level (monthly bollinger band midline) is lost, leading to an 88% price reduction.
Time Effect
LongThe analysis is based on monthly charts and references historical patterns that led to a 'two-year bear flat.' the current scenario, if it plays out, would imply a significant and potentially prolonged bearish trend.
Original Article:
Article Content:
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available. Read U.TODAY on Google News XRP is in a really delicate position technically, and the monthly chart just gave its first serious macro warning since the 2024 breakout. Advertisement If the current $1.89 midline on the Bollinger Bands flips into resistance, the downside magnet is not a mild dip but a brutal collapse: $0.20, the next logical level in the volatility corridor. That is an 88% drop from the current price point, as visible on the TradingView chart. Source: TradingView The structure is as straightforward as it is brutal. The monthly candles are showing XRP having a hard time holding the middle band. This is the first time since its Q4,2024, liftoff, where there was an over 300% rally after years of it being stuck sideways. HOT Stories Breaking: Strategy Now Owns 700,000 BTC Morning Crypto Report: $74.68 Million XRP Bull Makes Brutal Mistake, Bitcoin Briefly Hits $0 On Decentralized Exchange, Shiba Inu (SHIB) Delivers 5,407,865% Liquidation Shock: What Happened? Ripple CEO to Go Live in Davos U.Today Crypto Review: XRP's Biggest Price Bounce, Shiba Inu (SHIB) Still Fighting, Is Ethereum (ETH) Eyeing Third $3,500 Breakout? Now that same band has flattened, and the candle bodies are closing into it like dead weight. The lower band has not been tested since 2022, and it has been widening since the parabola began. Advertisement All or nothing for XRP Losing the midband here is not just a dip — it makes every breakout bet made since November 2024 invalid. When this band broke up in 2020, the price of XRP went into a two-year bear flat. The difference now is scale: the lower band sits at $0.20, not $0.60. You Might Also Like Tue, 01/20/2026 - 12:17 Morning Crypto Report: $74.68 Million XRP Bull Makes Brutal Mistake, Bitcoin Briefly Hits $0 On Decentralized Exchange, Shiba Inu (SHIB) Delivers 5,407,865% Liquidation Shock: What Happened? By Gamza Khanzadaev This setup does not guarantee that $0.20 will be the outcome, but it does lock it into the chart's language as a real possibility. Even if buyers step in early, that just shows they are not as strong as the market might suggest. Advertisement XRP technically still has 11 days to close above the midband. But every candle below it makes the signal stronger. By the way, the last time this formation did not work was back in 2018. #XRP #XRP News #Ripple News