A senior commodity strategist from bloomberg intelligence suggests bitcoin may have peaked due to a significant gold-oil market imbalance (investors seeking safety in gold, while oil plunges) and historical patterns where risk assets struggle when safe havens surge. he views bitcoin as 'overheated' and vulnerable to decline.
Analysis comes from mike mcglone, a bloomberg intelligence senior commodity strategist, known for his macroeconomic and commodity-focused insights. his views are based on broader financial market indicators and historical data.
Mcglone argues that bitcoin's current market strength is unsustainable given investors moving into gold as a safe haven and potential asset mispricing. he explicitly warns of a potential price decline, aligning with bitcoin's recent struggle to breach the $100,000 level after peaking at $126,198 in october 2025 and dipping to $84,000.
The analysis focuses on broad macroeconomic indicators, historical market cycles, and a 'gold-oil disparity' observed over an entire year (2025), suggesting a longer-term trend rather than immediate intraday movements.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available. Read U.TODAY on Google News Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Commodity Strategist Mike McGlone has dropped a hot take on Bitcoin. In a post on X, McGlone argues that Bitcoin might be overheating given the broader financial market indicators. Advertisement Gold-oil market imbalance raises red flags for Bitcoin According to McGlone, Bitcoin appears to have peaked given that investors are seeking safety in the rising gold. He noted that in 2025, gold surged by 65% to over $4,000 as investors looked to hedge against risk, inflation and economic slowdown. At the same time, oil plunged by 20% to around $60 per as a result of weak market demand and oversupply issues. McGlone considers this a huge "gold-oil disparity" and the largest ever recorded in a single year under such conditions. Stocks too Hot, or Commodities Too Cold? At 85%, the 2025 disparity between rising gold and falling crude oil was the greatest ever in a year when Bitcoin may have peaked. Is it a warning or a feint? My bias leans toward the former. Full report on the Bloomberg here:… pic.twitter.com/5rMcTmsEWN — Mike McGlone (@mikemcglone11) January 16, 2026 The senior commodity strategist observed that historically, when safe haven assets like gold surge, risk assets like Bitcoin often struggle soon after. He implies that Bitcoin’s current market strength might not be sustainable under these conditions. McGlone believes that prevailing market conditions suggest that assets are mispriced and a correction could be looming. He warned that Bitcoin is now vulnerable to price decline as the asset has overheated. Another analyst and long-time Bitcoin skeptic, Peter Schiff also believes that Bitcoin might face a crash . As U.Today reported, Schiff urged investors betting on the coin to sell their holdings now before the next crash. Notably, in October 2025, the Bitcoin price surged rapidly and peaked at $126,198.07. The coin has faced severe dips since then, plunging to a low of $84,000 in the last 30 days. Despite showing potential for upward momentum, the flagship crypto asset has not been able to breach the psychological $100,000 level. You Might Also Like Fri, 01/16/2026 - 15:05 Will XRP Overtake Binance Coin? Battle for Top 4 By Arman Shirinyan Matt Hougan's bullish forecast As of press time, the Bitcoin price was changing hands at $95,076.40, which represents a 0.99% decline in the last 24 hours. The coin had fluctuated between a daily range of $95,103.24 and $97,015.35 before settling at the current market price. Trading volume is also down by 24.88% to $43.8 billion. The market supply of Bitcoin surged after miners’ sell-off. Some market participants are concerned of possible sell pressure if volume remains in the red zone and price rejection at $96,000 continues. Regardless of this setup, Bitcoin’s dominance stands at 59.17%, suggesting that investors favor the coin over altcoin assets. If Bitcoin is able to stabilize above the $93,000 price, it could regain its bullish momentum to reattempt the elusive $100,000. Bitwise’s Mat Hougan believes that Bitcoin will mirror gold’s explosive growth soon. He maintains that if the exchange-traded fund demand is sustained, the price will move parabolic. #Bitcoin