Bitcoin is at a crucial crossroads, with the $93,500 level acting as a key resistance or potential support. a successful reclaim of this level could lead to a significant bullish move towards higher emas, while rejection could solidify a macro lower high, dictating the flagship crypto's next major direction.
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The price direction is currently at a 'crossroads'. while bitcoin has reclaimed the upper zone of its multi-month range and is retesting $93,500, its ability to turn this former resistance into support is critical. a successful weekly close above $93,500 and subsequent retest would be bullish, paving the way to challenge emas around $97,000-$98,000. however, rejection from $93,500 or inability to turn emas into support could lead to a macro lower high, signaling bearish continuation.
Short-term impact hinges on the weekly close above or rejection from $93,500 and subsequent retest. long-term implications could extend 'over the coming months' and even until the 'next halving year in 2028' if $93,500 solidifies as a macro resistance level.
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. After breaking above a crucial resistance level, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to retest this area as support to potentially challenge new highs. An analyst affirmed that this reclaim holds the keys for the flagship crypto’s next major move. Related Reading Ethereum’s Q1 Outlook: Analyst Shares Historical Setup As Price Nears Key Resistance 1 day ago Bitcoin Weekly Close Eyes New Targets Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has reclaimed the upper zone of its multi-month price range and is retesting the $94,000 area for the first time in nearly a month. The cryptocurrency has been trading sideways since the late November correction, which sent price to an eight-month low of $80,600. During this period, BTC has been hovering between the $86,200-$93,500 levels in the weekly timeframe, facing strong resistance around the mid-zone of the range. However, the flagship crypto was able to close the previous week above the $90,500 resistance, enabling a move toward the key upper boundary. Analyst Rekt Capital highlighted that the $93,500 area is a crucial level for the cryptocurrency’s upcoming price action, noting that Bitcoin was rejected from the $93,500 area for most of Q4. Now, price is challenging this level again, “which is not just the Range High resistance of the Weekly Range but is also a confluent resistance with the multi-week Downtrend that has plagued price since forming in mid-October 2025.” BTC breaks out of weekly downtrend. Source: Rekt Capital Rekt Capital pointed out that this level could likely become a macro resistance as price performed its 12-month candle close below it. “Across Four Year Cycles, such resistances tend to resist price for ~3 years before finally being broken in the Halving Year,” he explained. He added that if BTC has begun a Bear Market, “what this translates to is that price could overextend beyond $93500 over the coming months in order to solidify a Macro Lower High before continuing lower.” As a result, this level would only be successfully reclaimed in the next halving year in 2028. BTC’s Most Important Technical Test Despite the potential macro resistance, the analyst affirmed that a weekly reclaim or short-term rejection of the $93,500 level “isn’t as important as the general direction BTC seems poised to continue to pursue: BTC wants to return above $93.5k.” A weekly close above this level, followed by a post-breakout retest , would confirm a successful breakout from the weekly range and the weekly downtrend. Notably, the cryptocurrency showed a similar performance during the Q2-Q3 2025 recovery, when price broke out of the downtrend, reclaimed the $93,500 area, and retested it for a few weeks before a move to higher levels. This would also build a base for a challenge of the converging bull market Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which were lost during the Q4 2025 corrections. Per the chart, the 50-week EMA and 21-week EMA currently sit around the $97,000-$98,000 levels. “History suggests there’s a good chance price will break beyond these EMAs,” Rekt Capital affirmed, but cautioned that it also suggests Bitcoin won’t be able to successfully turn these levels into a new support. Related Reading Here’s Why The Shiba Inu Price Jumped Over 13% 20 hours ago “If price indeed breaks down from the EMAs, then retesting them as resistance from the underside during their crossover would be a bearish signal,” he warned. As a result, the flagship crypto’s “most important technical milestone” will be reclaiming the EMAs as support to confirm bull market momentum . Nonetheless, “a Range breakout and a Weekly Downtrend breach are essential in the first place for BTC to get closer to those EMAs,” he concluded. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $93,330, a 4.8% increase in the weekly timeframe. BTC’s performance in the one-week chart. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com