Dogecoin broke a key support level at $0.1248, falling 3% to $0.1226 due to significant year-end selling pressure. the breakdown was volume-confirmed, and whale wallets distributed 150 million doge, capping any potential rallies.
The analysis is provided by coindesk analytics, a reputable source, with detailed technical indicators, on-chain data (whale distribution, open interest), and specific price levels.
Doge's price direction is bearish as it broke a critical support level with high volume, indicating strong selling pressure. the asset remains in a descending channel with consistent lower highs, despite oversold conditions.
The selling pressure is specifically linked to 'year-end positioning' and 'thin liquidity into the holidays,' suggesting an immediate, short-term market reaction. the analysis focuses on immediate next support and resistance levels to be tested quickly.
Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Dogecoin breaks support as year-end selling drags DOGE to $0.123 Open interest rose above $1.5 billion, indicating futures traders' continued exposure. By Shaurya Malwa , CD Analytics Updated Dec 30, 2025, 4:35 a.m. Published Dec 30, 2025, 4:35 a.m. (CoinDesk Data) What to know : Dogecoin fell 3% to $0.1226 as year-end selling pressure broke a key support level. Whale wallets distributed 150 million DOGE, capping rallies despite oversold conditions. Open interest rose above $1.5 billion, indicating futures traders' continued exposure. Dogecoin slipped 3% to $0.1226 as year-end selling pressure pushed the token through a key support zone, keeping the meme coin pinned to the lower end of its December downtrend. DOGE broke below $0.1248 during the heaviest trading window of the session, with volume running about 157% above average — a sign the move wasn’t just thin-liquidity drift, but a real break driven by active supply. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy . The drop extended a broader bearish structure that has defined DOGE’s month, with sellers repeatedly using rebounds to lighten exposure and defend lower-high levels. News background The move comes as year-end positioning continues to weigh on high-beta crypto, with liquidity thinning into the holidays and investors trimming risk. DOGE has also been facing supply pressure from large holders: whale wallets distributed roughly 150 million tokens over the past five days, keeping spot rallies capped even as price traded near range lows. At the same time, derivatives positioning has remained active. Open interest climbed back above $1.5 billion, suggesting futures traders are still willing to hold exposure into 2025 even as spot market tone turns defensive. That divergence — persistent leverage against weakening spot structure — tends to keep volatility elevated, especially when sentiment is already fragile. Technical analysis DOGE’s break below $0.1248 is the technical pivot. That level had been acting as a floor for short-term consolidation, and once it gave way the market rotated quickly into the $0.122–$0.123 demand pocket. The breakdown was volume-confirmed, with roughly 857 million DOGE changing hands during the decisive leg lower. That’s consistent with distribution rather than a slow grind down, and it explains why rebounds have struggled to find follow-through: sellers have been present on every push back toward $0.1270. From a structure standpoint, DOGE remains trapped in a descending channel with consecutive lower highs. Momentum is stretched — RSI around 37 points to oversold conditions — but oversold readings alone haven’t been enough to reverse the trend, particularly in late-December tapes where liquidity is thin and selling can be persistent. Price action summary DOGE fell to $0.1226 after breaking below $0.1248 support on above-average volume $0.1270 now marks the first resistance level after the breakdown Whale wallets have distributed roughly 150 million DOGE over five days, keeping rallies capped Open interest rebuilt above $1.5B even as spot structure weakened What traders should know The trade is now straightforward: DOGE is sitting on its next decision level. If $0.1226 holds and price reclaims $0.1248 quickly, the move likely resolves into another range-bound bounce back toward $0.1270. That would fit the recent pattern of short-covering rallies that fail under overhead supply. If $0.1226 fails, the next downside magnet sits near $0.118, where prior demand pockets and the lower channel boundary converge. In that scenario, any bounce back toward $0.1248 would likely be treated as resistance unless spot volume flips decisively from sell-led to buy-led. For now, the tape reads like a breakdown with supply overhead — and with year-end liquidity still thin, the next clean level break could move faster than usual. More For You State of the Blockchain 2025 By CoinDesk Research Dec 19, 2025 Commissioned by Input Output Group L1 tokens broadly underperformed in 2025 despite a backdrop of regulatory and institutional wins. Explore the key trends defining ten major blockchains below. What to know : 2025 was defined by a stark divergence: structural progress collided with stagnant price action. Institutional milestones were reached and TVL increased across most major ecosystems, yet the majority of large-cap Layer-1 tokens finished the year with negative or flat returns. This report analyzes the structural decoupling between network usage and token performance. We examine 10 major blockchain ecosystems, exploring protocol versus application revenues, key ecosystem narratives, mechanics driving institutional adoption, and the trends to watch as we head into 2026. View Full Report More For You XRP price slips to $1.85 as key support gives way By Shaurya Malwa , CD Analytics 10 minutes ago Technical analysis suggests a defensive market stance, with XRP struggling to reclaim resistance levels and momentum indicators showing oversold conditions. What to know : XRP fell to $1.85 after breaking the $1.87 support, with increased exchange inflows indicating potential selling pressure. Institutional interest remains strong, but recent on-chain data shows a shift towards selling rather than accumulating XRP. Technical analysis suggests a defensive market stance, with XRP struggling to reclaim resistance levels and momentum indicators showing oversold conditions. 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