The crypto market is significantly down (market cap down 32% from october high, 13% from jan 1) despite numerous positive drivers like pro-regulation shifts, etf launches, and institutional buying, leading analysts to question structural issues and liquidity.
The analysis is based on insights from multiple reputable analysts and firms (cnbc, cointelegraph, 10x research, pantera) who provide diverse but well-reasoned perspectives on the current market disconnect.
Despite strong fundamental progress and catalysts, the overall crypto market cap is tracking lower, with some analysts asserting that a bear market (crypto winter) is already underway due to structural issues, historic leverage, and persistent selling pressure.
The article points to 'structural issues' and 'historic levels of leverage' requiring resolution, suggesting that understanding and correcting these underlying problems, or waiting for a 'mother of all catch-up trades,' will likely take a prolonged period. additionally, foundational work is described as laying 'deep caissons to support durable, long-term growth.'
Martin Young 1 minute ago Crypto has everything needed for a bull market, so why is the market down? Crypto has tracked lower late this year despite pro-regulation shifts, ETF launches, and institutional buying, prompting analysts to question structural issues. Listen 0:00 News COINTELEGRAPH IN YOUR SOCIAL FEED Analysts and investors are questioning why crypto isn’t in a bull market, given the amount of positive drivers that have taken place this year. “At some point, we need to admit that something is structurally broken in the crypto market,” CNBC crypto contributor Ran Neuner said on Tuesday. He said that multiple favorable factors should be leading to crypto markets performing better, such as increased liquidity, a pro-crypto US government, various exchange-traded fund launches, major institutional and crypto treasury company buying, and strong performance in traditional markets such as gold, silver, and major stock indexes. However, crypto markets are on track to end the year lower than when they began, with the total market capitalization falling more than 32% from its all-time high of $4.4 trillion in early October and almost 13% down from Jan. 1. Crypto market cap is on track to end the year lower than it started. Source: CoinGecko Two possible outcomes for crypto Neuner said there were two possible outcomes for crypto: discovery of “what’s actually broken and who is selling” or the “mother of all catch-up trades because that’s how markets work.” Economist Adam Kobeissi said that “one day, we will look back at the last 2 months of seemingly daily mass crypto liquidations and what’s happening will be crystal clear:” “Crypto is experiencing a structural shift amid historic levels of leverage.” Related: Most crypto sectors lagged Bitcoin over past 3 months: Glassnode Analyst “PlanB” called it an “epic battle until sellers are out of ammo,” explaining that selling pressure is still coming from “OGs traumatized by 2021,” technical investors looking at relative strength index, and those who believe in the four-year cycle and that a bear market is due. Crypto winter is already here Meanwhile, some analysts are convinced that the bear market is already underway. “Bitcoin entered a bear market in late October 2025, becoming the first major risk asset to price in a slowing economy,” 10x Research CEO Markus Thielen told Cointelegraph. “Retail participation never meaningfully returned this cycle, and value creation remained narrowly concentrated in Bitcoin rather than broadening across risk assets. Winter isn’t approaching; it has already arrived.” Things aren’t that bad, really Despite the poor performance of spot markets, the industry’s fundamentals remain solid. “While prices may have fallen short of expectations, this year delivered more structural progress than any in crypto’s history,” Erik Lowe, head of content at blockchain venture firm Pantera, said in a report on Tuesday. Like Neuner, he listed several milestone achievements for the industry this year, including a shift in staff and stance at US financial regulators , the establishment of a US strategic Bitcoin reserve and digital asset stockpile, and increases in stablecoin supplies and onchain value of tokenized real-world assets . “From that perspective, we believe there hasn’t been a more important year for the industry than 2025. This is the year we began laying the deep caissons to support durable, long-term growth.” Magazine: Bitcoin’s critical level is $82.5K, Ethereum ‘not done yet’: Trade Secrets # Bitcoin # Altcoins # Ethereum # Bitcoin Price # Markets Add reaction