Repeated distribution waves from long-term holders (lths) have significantly influenced bitcoin's price, contributing to a nearly 40% correction from its october all-time high. this marks a departure from historical cycle patterns.
The analysis is based on on-chain data from glassnode, a reputable analytics firm, and published by coindesk, a well-regarded crypto news source, with commentary from an industry expert.
The repeated selling pressure from lths, described as one of the largest sources of sell-side pressure, has directly led to significant price corrections, including the recent 40% drop. while the market has absorbed these waves, the immediate directional impact of lth distribution is downward.
The analysis spans multiple distribution waves occurring over an extended period (since early 2023 through 2025) and discusses a fundamental shift in bitcoin's market cycle behavior compared to prior bull markets.
Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Bitcoin long term holder supply hits 8 month low cycle breaks from historical patterns Repeated distribution waves from long-term holders highlight how this bitcoin cycle is breaking from historical norms. By James Van Straten | Edited by Oliver Knight Updated Dec 17, 2025, 11:12 a.m. Published Dec 17, 2025, 11:12 a.m. Long Term Holder Supply (Glassnode) What to know : Bitcoin long-term holder supply has fallen to 14.34 million BTC, its lowest level since May, marking the third wave of long term holder selling this cycle after earlier distribution around ETF approvals and the move to $100,000 after President Trump's election win. Unlike prior bull markets that saw a single blow off distribution phase, this cycle is characterized by multiple LTH sell waves that have been absorbed by the market. Bitcoin BTC $ 87,018.43 long term holder (LTH), supply has fallen to an eight month low of 14,342,207 BTC, a level last seen in May, which has coincided with bitcoin falling almost 40% from its October all-time high. Glassnode defines a long term holder as an entity that has held bitcoin for at least 155 days, placing the current cohort cutoff around mid July, so any buyer then and has held would be classified as a LTH. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy . This decline marks the third distinct wave of LTH distribution in the current cycle since early 2023. The first wave occurred from late 2023 into early 2024 following the launch of U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs, when LTH's sold into strength as bitcoin rallied from roughly $25,000 to a peak near $73,000 by March 2024. The second wave emerged later in the year when bitcoin ran towards $100,000, driven by optimism surrounding President Trump’s election victory. The market is now experiencing a third iteration of LTH selling as bitcoin remained above $100,000 for much of the year. Why This Cycle is Different? This behavior stands in contrast to prior bull markets in 2013, 2017, and 2021, where LTH supply typically followed a single boom and bust pattern, bottoming near euphoric cycle peaks before gradually recovering. Instead, this cycle has seen repeated waves of distribution without a clear blow off top, a dynamic highlighted by Alec, co-founder of Checkonchain , who noted that bitcoin LTH spending this cycle is unlike anything seen in recent history, with the market absorbing a third sell wave remarkably well. LTH distribution remains one of the largest sources of sell side pressure in bitcoin and has been a key contributor to the nearly 40% correction from October's all-time high. Bitcoin News Glassnode More For You Protocol Research: GoPlus Security By CoinDesk Research Nov 14, 2025 Commissioned by GoPlus What to know : As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M. GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month. Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B. View Full Report More For You Memecoin boom turns into capitulation one year after $150 billion market peak By Shaurya Malwa | Edited by Sheldon Reback 2 hours ago Daily memecoin volume slumped to just under $5 billion this month after surging more than 760% to near $87 billion in 2024 as interest in the pop-culture crypto tokens evaporated. What to know : Memecoins, valued at $150 billion at the end of 2024, slid to just over $47 billion by November. Dogecoin and a few other tokens make up more than half of the current memecoin market capitalization. Interest in memecoins plummeted more than 80% in 2025, with trading volumes and engagement dropping significantly. Read full story Latest Crypto News Bhutan commits up to 10,000 bitcoin to back new mindfulness-based economic hub 58 minutes ago Memecoin boom turns into capitulation one year after $150 billion market peak 2 hours ago Bitcoin trades near key price safety net that Strategy already breached 3 hours ago Bitcoin slides with ether and XRP as market tests $3 trillion floor 5 hours ago Grayscale outlines top crypto investing themes for 2026 as institutional adoption grows 5 hours ago DOGE exits range as selling pressure builds at key levels 6 hours ago Top Stories Bitcoin slides with ether and XRP as market tests $3 trillion floor 5 hours ago U.S. FDIC proposes first U.S. stablecoin rule to emerge from GENIUS Act 18 hours ago Memecoin boom turns into capitulation one year after $150 billion market peak 2 hours ago Grayscale outlines top crypto investing themes for 2026 as institutional adoption grows 5 hours ago U.S. Senate's Warren asks for Trump-tied crypto probe as market structure bill drags 17 hours ago Bhutan commits up to 10,000 bitcoin to back new mindfulness-based economic hub 58 minutes ago