Bitcoin Trades Near Key Price Safety Net That Strategy Already Breached

Bitcoin Trades Near Key Price Safety Net That Strategy Already Breached

Source: CoinDesk

Published:07:14 UTC

BTC Price:$86688

#BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish

Analysis

Price Impact

High

Bitcoin is trading at a critical 100-week simple moving average (sma), a key long-term support. microstrategy (mstr), often a leading indicator for btc, has already breached its 100-week sma and seen a significant drop, suggesting potential further declines for btc if this support level fails.

Trustworthiness

High

The analysis is from coindesk, a reputable source, and performed by a chartered market technician (omkar godbole), focusing on well-established technical indicators (100-week sma) and observed correlations with mstr.

Price Direction

Bearish

While btc is currently holding the 100-week sma, mstr's prior breach and subsequent 60%+ sell-off serves as a strong bearish cue. bulls must defend this support rigorously; a break below it could lead to deeper losses for bitcoin, mirroring mstr's trajectory.

Time Effect

Long

The 100-week sma is a long-term technical indicator, and mstr's price action unfolded over several weeks to months, suggesting that any breakout or breakdown from this level could have a sustained, long-term impact on bitcoin's price trend.

Original Article:

Article Content:

Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Bitcoin Trades Near Key Price Safety Net That Strategy Already Breached The safety net is the 100-week average, which has stalled the downtrend. By Omkar Godbole | Edited by Sam Reynolds Dec 17, 2025, 7:14 a.m. BTC trades near key support, with MSTR offering bearish cues. What to know : Bitcoin trades near a critical 100-week simple moving average, a key support level for bulls. Strategy shares have already fallen below this average, signaling potential bearish trends for bitcoin. Bulls must defend this support to prevent further declines similar to Strategy's recent losses. This is a technical analysis post by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole. Bitcoin BTC $ 86,777.66 trades close to a crucial long-term price line that's held for three weeks, putting bulls on edge. However, shares in the largest publicly listed BTC holder, Strategy (MSTR), have already slipped below this "safety net," flashing bearish cues to the cryptocurrency. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy . This safety net is the 100-week simple moving average (SMA), the average price over roughly two years and a trusted metric for technical analysts across markets to identify major trend shifts and long-term support or breakdowns. For bitcoin, the 100-week SMA has held steady for three weeks, halting the decline from record highs above $126,000. Think of it as a safety net catching a falling object mid-air. A bounce from the average could spark hopes of a trampoline-like bullish rebound. But if prices break lower, frustrated holders may dump more while bears gain confidence, sparking deeper declines. That's precisely what happened to MicroStrategy shares in November, as seen in the chart below. BTC and MSTR's weekly charts in candlestick format. (TradingView/CoinDesk) MSTR dropped to $220 in early November, penetrating the 100-week SMA line. Since then, it has extended the sell-off to $160. The stock is now down over 60% from the year-to-date high of $457. This is critical for BTC bulls, as MSTR had also led bitcoin earlier when it broke below the 50-week SMA, another widely watched long-term average. The key takeaway is that bulls must defend the 100-week SMA, or prices risk following MSTR’s path into deeper losses. If bulls manage to keep prices above the average, it would strengthen hopes that it acts as a trampoline for a bullish rebound. Bitcoin News Technical Analysis Markets More For You Protocol Research: GoPlus Security By CoinDesk Research Nov 14, 2025 Commissioned by GoPlus What to know : As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M. GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month. Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B. 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