Bitcoin derivatives point to broad price range play between $85,000-$100,000

Bitcoin derivatives point to broad price range play between $85,000-$100,000

Source: CoinDesk

Published:2025-12-16 19:18

BTC Price:$87350

#BTC #Crypto #Derivatives

Analysis

Price Impact

Med

Bitcoin's derivatives market indicates strong support at $85,000 and resistance between $95,000 and $100,000. this suggests a period of range-bound trading rather than a significant surge or crash, effectively capping immediate upside and downside.

Trustworthiness

High

The analysis is based on activity in deribit-listed options, specifically put and call selling data, and is supported by insights from market maker wintermute's desk strategist, jasper de maere, providing a solid, data-driven perspective.

Price Direction

Neutral

The substantial selling of put options at $85,000 creates a strong psychological and actual support floor, while extensive call selling at $95,000-$100,000 establishes a firm resistance ceiling. this points to a consolidation phase within this defined range.

Time Effect

Short

Traders are actively 'harvesting volatility' by selling both puts and calls, implying expectations for contained price movement in the near term. this strategy aims to profit from options expiring worthless if btc stays within the defined range.

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Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Bitcoin derivatives point to broad price range play between $85,000-$100,000 BTC options flow points to expectations for a broad range play rather than a massive surge or crash. By Omkar Godbole | Edited by Nikhilesh De Dec 16, 2025, 7:18 p.m. (Shutterstock, modified by CoinDesk) What to know : Bitcoin's derivatives market shows stability, with strong support at $85,000 and resistance between $95,000 and $100,000. Traders are selling put options at $85,000, indicating confidence that bitcoin won't fall below this level soon. Call options are being sold at $100,000. Bitcoin's BTC $ 87,369.30 derivatives market is flashing signals of stability in a broad range rather than a massive moonshot or violent crash. Activity in Deribit-listed options shows strong support around $85,000 from heavy put selling (writing) or traders offering insurance against price drops below that level. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy . At the same time, some traders are offering protection against bullish price moves beyond $95,000-$100,000 levels by writing call options at these levels, thereby creating resistance, according to data tracked by market maker Wintermute. Therefore, volatility could remain contained within this range as both put and call sellers collect premiums from options sales. "Strong put-selling support around 85k (then 80k/75k as secondary buffers), while call overwrites cap upside around 95k–100k. Vol is being harvested inside this band," Wintermute's Desk Strategist Jasper De Maere, said in an email. Put selling builds a floor Put options are contracts that pay out if the underlying asset falls below a set price on or before a specific date. So, traders selling the $85,000 strike put reflects confidence that BTC won't plunge below that level, at least in the near term. When large number of traders sell puts en masse at a specific level, it often creates a self-fulfilling support. In BTC's case, the $85,000 put is the second most popular option across all expiries, with a notional open interest of over $2 billion at press time. Notional open interest refers to the dollar value of the number of active contracts at a given time. On Deribit, one options contract represents one BTC. If prices near that level, its likely that put sellers may buy BTC in the spot or futures market, creating support. Call overwriting creates resistance On the higher end, bitcoin holders are selling call options against their long spot positions around $95,000 to $100,000. These "overwrites" generate income in the form of premium received for offering insurance against bullish price moves, but obligate call sellers to deliver bitcoin if prices surge past those levels. The result: these call sellers could add selling pressure to the spot market if prices near $100,000, making the breakout harder. So, increased interest in selling the $100,000 strike call suggests limited enthusiasm for a rapid rally into six figures. As of writing, the $100,000 call was the most popular play with a notional open interest of $2.37 billion. Volatility harvesting in play "Vol is being harvested," De Maere noted, referring to traders selling both puts and calls to pocket premiums. The strategy essentially generates yield by betting on dwindling volatility – hence the name "volatility harvesting." These options steadily lose value and expire worthless if bitcoin continues trading sideways, letting sellers keep the full premiums received. 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