A 66% drop in spot trading volumes is a significant market event, which bitfinex analysts suggest often precedes the 'next leg in the cycle'. this indicates a potential major price movement after the current lull.
The analysis is from a major exchange (bitfinex) backed by coinmarketcap data. it's further supported by insights from a recognized market analyst (michaël van de poppe) regarding bitcoin's tightening price structure and impending volatility.
Bitfinex explicitly states that these volume 'lulls' often 'precede the next leg in the cycle,' which in the current context, following a strong run, generally implies an upward trend. michaël van de poppe also points to a tightening price structure for bitcoin and mentions a potential move towards $100,000 if key resistance levels are broken.
Analyst michaël van de poppe expects volatility to 'pick up significantly over the course of the next days.' while the full 'next leg in the cycle' might extend longer, the immediate impact on volatility is expected soon.
Amin Haqshanas 2 minutes ago Spot volumes drop 66% in ‘lulls’ that often precede next cycle leg: Bitfinex Bitfinex said the recent 66% slide in spot trading volumes echoes lulls seen before next leg in the cycle. Listen 0:00 News COINTELEGRAPH IN YOUR SOCIAL FEED Bitfinex says crypto spot trading activity has fallen sharply this quarter, with volumes down 66% from January’s peak as traders step back amid softer ETF inflows and an uncertain macro backdrop. In a Sunday post on X, the exchange noted that the slowdown mirrors periods seen in earlier market cycles, where extended lulls often “precede the next leg in the cycle.” According to data from CoinMarketCap, 30-day crypto spot volumes have slipped from over $500 billion in early November to roughly $250 billion this week. Trading activity struggled to stay above the $300–$350 billion range throughout late November and early December, with several sessions sliding toward $200 billion, levels not seen in months. The decline followed a brief spike in mid-November, when volumes exceeded $550 billion before retreating quickly, data shows. Spot crypto volumes continue to drop. Source: CoinMarketCap Related: Brazil’s largest private bank advises investors to allocate 3% to Bitcoin in 2026 Bitcoin nearing breakout as key levels tighten Meanwhile, market analysts say the current environment resembles previous pre-breakout periods. In a recent post on X, Michaël van de Poppe noted a tightening price structure in Bitcoin ( BTC ), saying that major macro events in the coming week could drive a surge in volatility. “Bitcoin holds above this crucial level, but I'm sure we'll start to see volatility pick up significantly over the course of the next days,” the analyst said. He pointed to key levels at $89,000 and $92,000, arguing that a break above resistance could accelerate a move toward $100,000 before 2026, while losing support risks another retest of lower ranges. Related: Bitcoin rallies fail at $94K despite Fed policy shift: Here's why Crypto slips despite fed cut As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin briefly climbed to $94,330 early in the week, lifted by Strategy’s $962 million purchase, its largest Bitcoin investment since mid-2025. However, the momentum faded quickly as traders awaited the final Federal Open Market Committee meeting of the year. The Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected 25-basis-point rate cut on Wednesday, giving markets a short-lived boost before sentiment cooled again. According to CoinEx analyst Jeff Ko, the move offered little upside because it was “already priced in.” Magazine: 2026 is the year of pragmatic privacy in crypto — Canton, Zcash and more # Bitcoin # Cryptocurrencies # Altcoins # Bitfinex # Cryptocurrency Exchange # Trading # Cryptocurrency Investment Add reaction