Gemini's cftc approval for u.s. prediction markets is a significant regulatory milestone. while not directly tied to the price of a single cryptocurrency, it signals increasing regulatory acceptance and maturity of the crypto industry in the u.s. this could attract more institutional and retail capital into the broader market by offering new regulated avenues for participation and revenue streams for a major exchange.
The news comes from a reputable source (coindesk) and reports directly on a press release from gemini regarding a concrete regulatory approval from the u.s. cftc.
The approval of a designated contract market (dcm) license for gemini titan to offer regulated prediction markets in the u.s. enhances the legitimacy of the crypto space. increased regulatory clarity and the introduction of new, compliant financial products tend to foster overall market confidence, which can lead to positive sentiment and capital inflow for major cryptocurrencies.
Regulatory approvals and the launch of new, regulated financial products are foundational developments. their full impact, including increased adoption, market liquidity, and investor confidence, typically unfolds over a longer period rather than causing immediate, drastic price movements.
Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Gemini Approved by CFTC to Offer U.S. Prediction Markets Gemini said its affiliate Gemini Titan won CFTC approval to operate a Designated Contract Market, allowing the firm to offer regulated prediction markets in the U.S. By Siamak Masnavi , AI Boost | Edited by Omkar Godbole Dec 11, 2025, 7:57 a.m. Gemini co-founders Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss What to know : Gemini said its affiliate, Gemini Titan, received CFTC approval to operate as a Designated Contract Market. The firm stated that the license enables it to offer regulated prediction markets to U.S. customers. The Winklevoss twins praised the decision as aligning with President Trump’s push for U.S. leadership in the crypto sector. Gemini Space Station, Inc. said its affiliate Gemini Titan, LLC has received approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to operate as a Designated Contract Market (DCM), allowing the firm to offer regulated prediction markets to U.S. customers, according to a press release issued Wednesday. Per the release, Gemini first applied for a DCM license on March 10, 2020, and the company stated the approval marks the end of a five-year licensing process and the beginning of “a new chapter” for the exchange. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy . “Today’s approval marks the culmination of a 5-year licensing process and the beginning of a new chapter for Gemini,” CEO Tyler Winklevoss said in the press release. He thanked President Donald Trump for “ending the Biden Administration’s War on Crypto” and praised Acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham for helping advance what he called the president’s vision of making the United States “the crypto capital of the world,” according to the statement. Gemini said the new DCM license will enable Gemini Titan to offer event contracts framed as simple yes-or-no questions tied to future outcomes. Examples given in the release include markets on whether one bitcoin will end the year above $200,000 or whether Elon Musk’s X will pay a $140 million fine to the European Commission by 2026. The approval places Gemini Titan among the small number of CFTC-regulated venues permitted to offer event contracts in the U.S., a market currently dominated by Kalshi, which operates under the same DCM framework. Meanwhile, decentralized platforms such as Polymarket continue to serve offshore users without U.S. authorization. The development adds a new regulated competitor to a sector that has drawn increasing interest as exchanges explore prediction-market-style products. The company also mentioned that U.S. customers will be able to trade these event contracts on Gemini’s web interface using U.S. dollars held in their accounts, with mobile access via the Gemini app expected to follow. In the same release, Gemini said Gemini Titan plans to expand its derivatives offering for U.S. customers to include crypto futures, options, and perpetual contracts, while noting that these products would require further development and oversight. Gemini says its move into prediction markets is part of a broader effort to build a “one-stop financial super app” for customers, arguing in the press release that event contracts can leverage the “wisdom of the crowd” to improve forecasting and help market participants better prepare for future outcomes. Gemini did not specify when trading in its new markets will begin. Gemini Gemini Exchange Winklevoss Twins AI Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards . For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy . More For You Protocol Research: GoPlus Security By CoinDesk Research Nov 14, 2025 Commissioned by GoPlus What to know : As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M. GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month. Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B. View Full Report More For You Ether, Dogecoin, Solana Slide as Bitcoin Fails to Sustain Early-Week Breakout By Shaurya Malwa 54 minutes ago The pullback followed Tuesday's brief spike above $94,500, a move that triggered a minor short squeeze but failed to break the resistance that has capped bitcoin for most of the past three weeks. What to know : Bitcoin fell toward $90,000 as crypto markets lost ground despite a Federal Reserve rate cut. Over $514 million in leveraged positions were liquidated, with major tokens like Ether and Solana also declining. Analysts suggest Bitcoin must surpass $94,000 to signal a significant rebound, amid concerns over macroeconomic conditions and market liquidity. Read full story Latest Crypto News Ether, Dogecoin, Solana Slide as Bitcoin Fails to Sustain Early-Week Breakout 54 minutes ago Crypto Drop Wipes Out $370M in Bullish Bets as BTC, ETH Give Back Gains 1 hour ago XRP Slides as Traders Take Bitcoin Profits, With ETF Flows Still Strong 2 hours ago Why is Bitcoin Trading Lower Today? 3 hours ago U.S. Senate's Crypto Market Structure Bill Gets Messy as Calendar Weighs Down 4 hours ago Asia Morning Briefing: Fed Cut Brings Little Volatility as Bitcoin Waits for Japan 5 hours ago Top Stories U.S. Senate's Crypto Market Structure Bill Gets Messy as Calendar Weighs Down 4 hours ago Why is Bitcoin Trading Lower Today? 3 hours ago Ether, Dogecoin, Solana Slide as Bitcoin Fails to Sustain Early-Week Breakout 54 minutes ago Bitcoin Swings Wildly as Fed's Powell Straddles Labor Market and Inflation Issues 11 hours ago Federal Reserve Cuts Rates 25 Basis Points, With Two Members Voting for Steady Policy 13 hours ago Crypto CEOs Join U.S. CFTC's Innovation Council to Steer Market Developments 9 hours ago