Solana Enters Bear Territory: Realized Loss Now Outweighs Profit

Solana Enters Bear Territory: Realized Loss Now Outweighs Profit

Source: NewsBTC

Published:2025-12-11 03:00

BTC Price:$89984

#SOL #Bearish #OnChainData

Analysis

Price Impact

High

On-chain data indicates solana's realized profit/loss ratio is deep in the loss-taking zone, meaning loss realization significantly outweighs profit-taking. this, coupled with contracted liquidity to levels typically seen in deep bear markets, suggests significant underlying pressure and potential for further price depreciation.

Trustworthiness

High

The analysis is based on on-chain data from glassnode, a highly reputable analytics firm. the publication also emphasizes strict editorial policies, expert review, and high standards for accuracy and impartiality.

Price Direction

Bearish

The shift to a dominant loss-taking environment and severely contracted liquidity are strong bearish signals. while sol has seen recent price fluctuations upwards, the fundamental on-chain health indicates a weak market structure, reminiscent of previous bear market bottoms.

Time Effect

Long

The article explicitly states that similar conditions during the 2022 bear market persisted for several months before solana found a bottom, implying that a recovery from these deeply bearish on-chain metrics could take a considerable amount of time.

Original Article:

Article Content:

Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. On-chain data shows the Solana Realized Profit/Loss Ratio has dipped into the loss-taking zone recently, a sign that SOL liquidity has thinned. Solana Liquidity Back At Levels Associated With Bear Markets According to data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode , Solana liquidity has recently contracted to levels that are typically witnessed in a bear market. There are many ways “ liquidity ” of a cryptocurrency can be assessed, but here, Glassnode has used the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio . Related Reading Bitcoin In An Opportunity Zone? Hash Ribbons Flash New Buy Signal 1 day ago This indicator measures, as its name already implies, the ratio between the amount of profit and loss that the SOL investors as a whole are realizing through their transactions. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each coin being sold on the network to see what price it was last moved at. If the previous transaction price was less than the latest selling price for any token, then the indicator considers its sale to have realized a net gain. Similarly, the metric adds transactions to the loss-taking category in the opposite case. The exact amount of profit or loss realized in any transfer is naturally equal to the difference between the latest price and last selling value. The indicator adds up this value for both categories and determines the ratio. Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the 30-day moving average (MA) of the Solana Realized Profit/Loss over the last few years: The 30-day MA value of the metric appears to have dipped into the loss region in recent days | Source: Glassnode on X As displayed in the above graph, the Solana Realized Profit/Loss witnessed a sharp spike during the price rally in September. This suggests that profit taking saw an explosion. The indicator maintained at high levels for a while, but following the price peak in October, its value went downhill fast. In November, the Realized Profit/Loss breached below the 1 mark as SOL plummeted. A value less than 1 on the metric implies loss realization is outpacing profit taking. Since this breakdown, the indicator has only gone lower inside the loss-taking region, a sign investor capitulation has only been becoming more dominant. Glassnode has noted that the trend signals “liquidity has contracted back to levels typically seen in deep bear markets.” During the 2022 bear market , Solana remained in these conditions for a few months before its price found a bottom. Related Reading Bitcoin Speculation Muted: Glassnode Analyst Calls Perps A ‘Ghost Town’ 1 day ago It now remains to be seen whether the low liquidity will also persist for the cryptocurrency this time, or if the fall into the loss region is only a temporary one for the indicator. SOL Price Solana surged to $144 on Tuesday, but the coin has seen a fall back to $138. The price of the coin seems to have overall gone up over the last few days | Source: SOLUSDT on TradingView Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com