Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed’s 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions

Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed’s 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions

Source: NewsBTC

Published:2025-12-10 20:06

BTC Price:$92991

#BTC #Bullish #Crypto

Analysis

Price Impact

High

The federal reserve's 0.25% interest rate cut, with potential for further cuts and the end of quantitative tightening (qt), is seen by some analysts as a significant bullish catalyst for bitcoin, potentially pushing it towards $100,000. however, historical patterns suggest a 5-10% decline shortly after past rate cuts.

Trustworthiness

High

The source explicitly states a strict editorial policy focusing on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality. content is created by industry experts, meticulously reviewed, and adheres to the highest standards in reporting and publishing.

Price Direction

Bullish

Despite historical short-term declines following rate cuts, analysts like michael van de poppe and ash crypto believe the current market setup, including the end of qt and potential for increased liquidity, signals a bullish shift for bitcoin, with a path towards $100,000 if key support levels hold.

Time Effect

Long

The broader macroeconomic shift from rate cuts, the conclusion of qt, and the possibility of future quantitative easing (qe) are long-term drivers that inject liquidity into markets, generally benefiting risk assets like bitcoin over an extended period.

Original Article:

Article Content:

Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. In a move that could signal a bullish shift for Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency market, the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut, bringing the new rate range to 3.5% to 3.75%. Bitcoin Poised To Surge Toward $100,000? Kevin Hassett, the White House economic adviser and a leading candidate to become the next Fed chair, commented to the Wall Street Journal CEO Council that there is “plenty of room” for additional interest rate cuts. He stated, “If the data suggests that we could do it, then — like right now, I think there’s plenty of room to do it.” Hassett, who is President Donald Trump’s preferred choice for the Fed chair position after Jerome Powell’s tenure concludes, has been critical of Powell for being “too late” in lowering rates. Related Reading Crypto Market Structure Talks: Senator Lummis Addresses Latest Legislation Plans 20 hours ago While the last rate cut in October had minimal impact on the Bitcoin price, analyst Michael van de Poppe believes that the current rate cut could significantly benefit the cryptocurrency. He characterized it as a “great move” for Bitcoin and noted that a breakout above $92,000 might be indicative of future bullish momentum. Van de Poppe expressed optimism about Bitcoin’s ability to maintain the support level between $91,500 and $92,000, suggesting that if it does, there could be a pathway for Bitcoin to approach the $100,000 mark. Can BTC Avoid Historical 10% Decline? Market expert Ash Crypto pointed out that historically, each of the last four times the Fed slashed rates by 25 bps, Bitcoin experienced a 5% to 10% decline shortly thereafter. Despite this pattern, Ash noted that the current market setup differs from previous scenarios, suggesting that different dynamics could be at play. Related Reading Ethereum Price Climbs Toward $3,300 For The First Time Since November: What’s Driving The Surge? 14 hours ago Several positive factors underpinning this optimism include the conclusion of quantitative tightening (QT) after a three-year period. Should Powell hint at the possibility of quantitative easing (QE) in his forthcoming remarks, it could spur a further bullish trend in the market. Additionally, with this being the third rate cut, Ash asserted that there is potential for increased liquidity to flow back into the markets, which historically benefits risk assets like Bitcoin. The daily chart shows BTC’s price consolidation despite the Fed announcement. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com