Bitcoin hikes volatility into ‘tricky’ FOMC as $93.5K yearly open fails

Bitcoin hikes volatility into ‘tricky’ FOMC as $93.5K yearly open fails

Source: Cointelegraph

Published:2025-12-10 15:08

BTC Price:$91908

#BTC #FOMC #Volatility

Analysis

Price Impact

High

The fomc meeting is expected to cause significant volatility, with traders anticipating 'unreliable moves' and 'trapping' price action in both directions. bitcoin has already shown whipsaw movements, failing to hold key levels like the 2025 yearly open.

Trustworthiness

High

The analysis includes insights from well-known crypto traders (michaël van de poppe, daan crypto trades) and financial institutions (qcp capital), supported by data from coinglass, cointelegraph markets pro, and tradingview, focusing on market mechanics and liquidity.

Price Direction

Neutral

While recent gains above $94.5k were given back and btc trades around $92k, the prevailing sentiment is one of extreme uncertainty around fomc. traders are warned of fakeouts and unreliable moves, suggesting no clear directional conviction in the immediate aftermath, rather high volatility around a range.

Time Effect

Short

The immediate impact is due to the fomc interest-rate announcement and powell's press conference. additionally, the bank of japan meeting on december 19 is identified as the 'next major risk event' that could induce further short-term volatility in risk assets.

Original Article:

Article Content:

William Suberg 3 minutes ago Bitcoin hikes volatility into ‘tricky’ FOMC as $93.5K yearly open fails Bitcoin whipsawed around the key yearly open level into the Fed interest-rate announcement as traders waited for a reliable move. Listen 0:00 Market Update COINTELEGRAPH IN YOUR SOCIAL FEED Bitcoin ( BTC ) gave back recent gains on Wednesday as traders predicted fakeout moves around the Federal Reserve interest-rate announcement. Key points: Bitcoin fails to hold on to its recent trip past $94,500 as nerves accompany the Fed interest-rate decision. Traders are prepared for unreliable moves in both directions around FOMC. Japan-centered risk-asset volatility is already on the horizon as the next key issue. Bitcoin price fluctuations ignore the yearly open Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed that the BTC price trajectory was heading lower at the Wall Street open. BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView Having reached $94,650 the day prior, BTC/USD failed to hold higher levels, including the 2025 yearly open. At the time of writing, the pair traded around $92,000 as market participants expected unreliable price maneuvers around the rates announcement and press conference. “FOMC meetings can be pretty tricky,” crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe wrote on X. “The price action usually traps everyone before the actual move, so even if Bitcoin drops to $91K, I'm not putting too much weight on it.” BTC/USDT four-hour chart with RSI, volume data. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X Trader Daan Crypto Trades noted that exchange order books lacked major liquidity clusters on either side of the price after the move higher. “$BTC Took out that $93K-$94K liquidity cluster as mentioned yesterday. This was the most logical place to go from a liquidity perspective. With that taken out, there's no major area in close proximity,” he told X followers alongside data from monitoring resource CoinGlass . “But as price is now consolidating, we can see some clusters building up around the $90K & $95K levels.” BTC liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass As Cointelegraph reported , markets already saw an overwhelming chance of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cutting rates by 0.25%. The outlook on future policy from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, however, remained uncertain. “The rate decision is almost fully priced, but the real focus will be on Powell’s tone,” trading company QCP Capital explained in its latest “ Asia Color ” market update on the day. “With little new data since the last meeting, the Fed is unlikely to pre signal a January move, leaving traders to dissect every nuance of the press conference.” Fed target rate probabilities for Dec. 10 FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group FedWatch Tool Japan brings back familiar crypto risk Continuing, QCP said that after the FOMC reaction, risk-asset traders would switch their focus to Japan, with its bond market in unusual territory . Related: Bitcoin retail inflows to Binance ‘collapse’ to 400 BTC record low in 2025 “The BOJ meeting on 19 December has become the next major risk event,” it explained. “JGB yields are sitting at multi decade highs, with the 10Y near 1.95%, its highest level since 2007, and the 30Y around 3.39%, a record level and more than 100bps higher than a year ago.” Potential volatility could result from bonds impacting the yen carry trade — an issue already seen in 2024 , when crypto markets reacted in real time to the phenomenon. Japan’s central bank signaled that it could diverge from the global trend and raise interest rates next. This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information. This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information. # Bitcoin # Bitcoin Price # Markets # Market Analysis Add reaction