Ethereum's reclaim of the 50-week moving average, a historically bullish signal, coupled with significant whale accumulation and positive spot eth etf inflows, suggests a strong potential for a sustained price rally.
The analysis is supported by multiple on-chain data points from santiment and cryptoquant, historical price pattern analysis from tradingview, and positive sentiment from established analysts and cointelegraph markets pro data.
Historically, reclaiming the 50-week ma has led to 97%-147% rallies. increased whale accumulation, a positive eth coinbase premium index, and significant spot eth etf inflows all point to strong buying pressure and potential price appreciation towards $4,000 and even aths at $5,000.
While initial moves might be seen in days/weeks, historical precedents for 97-147% rallies typically span several months (e.g., october 2023 to march 2024). the full extent of the predicted rally would likely unfold over a longer period.
Nancy Lubale 1 minute ago Ethereum rising to $3.3K proves the bottom is in: Is a 100% ETH rally next? Ethereum gained between 97% and 147% after ETH price flipped the 50-week MA into support, and a similar setup is playing out this week. Listen 0:00 Altcoin Watch COINTELEGRAPH IN YOUR SOCIAL FEED Ether ( ETH ) climbed 7% in the past day, reclaiming its 50-week moving average (MA) near $3,300, an occurrence that has historically preceded strong price rallies. Key takeaways: Ethereum may have found a floor around $2,800, signaling a local bottom. Ether price previously rose 100% after reclaiming the 50-week moving average. Ethereum whales accumulated nearly 1 million ETH over three weeks. Past breakouts led to 97%-147% ETH price rallies Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the ETH/USD pair bounced from $2,800 support, rising 20% to the current price at $3,362. This breakout has seen Ether’s price reclaim a key trendline — the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) — increasing the likelihood of a steeper climb in the coming days or weeks. Related: Ethereum ‘smart’ whales open $426M long bets as ETH price chart eyes $4K Previous instances show that ETH tends to rise sharply when the price closes above the 50-week EMA (purple wave). The altcoin’s gains were 147% between October 2023 and March 2024, and 97% in Q3 2025. BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/ TradingView “$ETH is back above its 50-day MA. I would love to see a break above the 200-day MA at $3,500 in the coming days with the bulls flipping this area as support,” said investor StockTrader_Max in a Tuesday post on X, adding: “Once flipped to support, the ATH’s at $5,000 become the next target!” Fellow analyst CyrilXBT said the “50-week MA is now a key line to hold” in order to increase the chances of a push toward the $4,000 area. As Cointelegraph reported , the ETH price has ended its 5-month downtrend against Bitcoin, projecting 170% gains to 0.09 BTC in under two months. Ethereum whale buying bullish for ETH price Ether’s bullishness on Wednesday is preceded by increased accumulation by large investors. “Ethereum is a standout gainer today, climbing +8.5% and seeing an encouraging accumulation pattern from whales and sharks,” said market intelligence company Santiment on Tuesday. The accompanying chart shows that these investors have accumulated approximately 934,240 ETH, worth $3.15 billion at current rates, over the past three weeks, while small holders have sold approximately 1,041 ETH in the past seven days. “Ethereum soars back to $3,400 with an ideal setup of whale and shark accumulation, but retailers are dumping.” Ethereum whales holding 100+ ETH. Source: Santiment Additional data from CryptoQuant shows that whale wallets holding between 10,000 ETH and 100,000 ETH have reached record balances, with the wallets holding over 100,000 ETH also increasing their holdings, indicating bullishness among the bigger cohorts and institutions. ETH Balance by Holder Value. Source: CryptoQuant The resumption in whale interest coincides with an uptick in demand for spot Ethereum ETF flows, which recorded $177 million in inflows on Tuesday, the largest since Oct. 28, per data from SoSoValue . The ETH Coinbase Premium Index, a measure of US investors’ interest, remained positive over the past week after being negative for about a month. This pointed to a return in demand from US investors, which could propel ETH price higher. This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information. # Cryptocurrencies # Altcoins # Ethereum # Markets # Market Analysis # Altcoin Watch # Ethereum Price # Ethereum ETF Add reaction