Muted open interest and declining funding rates in bitcoin perpetual futures indicate a lack of speculative conviction and reduced leverage in the market. this suggests a period of lower volatility and less aggressive price movements, as the fuel for rapid directional shifts from derivatives traders is currently absent.
The analysis is sourced from glassnode, a highly reputable on-chain analytics firm, and its senior researcher. the publishing platform also adheres to strict editorial policies, ensuring accuracy, relevance, and impartiality, with content meticulously reviewed by industry experts.
The 'ghost town' description and decline in leveraged long conviction imply that derivatives traders are not aggressively betting on upside exposure. this points towards a more stable, potentially sideways, or consolidating price action for bitcoin, as there's no strong speculative push from the futures market to drive prices significantly higher in the immediate term.
The observations on perpetual futures open interest and funding rates typically reflect short-term market sentiment and leverage, influencing price movements and volatility over days to weeks.
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Glassnode’s senior researcher has pointed out how Bitcoin perpetual futures market is looking like a “ghost town,” with Open Interest continuing to be at muted levels. Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Has Remained Low Since October Reset In a new post on X, Glassnode senior researcher CryptoVizArt.₿ has talked about the recent trend in the Bitcoin Open Interest for the perpetual futures market. The “ Open Interest ” refers to an indicator that measures the total amount of positions related to the asset that are currently open on all centralized derivatives platforms. Related Reading This 11.7 Billion Dogecoin Wall Could Be Key Resistance For DOGE, Analyst Says 3 days ago When the value of the metric rises, it means the investors are opening new positions related to the asset. Generally, new positions come with fresh leverage for the sector, so the cryptocurrency’s price can become more volatile following an increase in the Open Interest. On the other hand, the indicator going down suggests the perpetual futures traders are either closing up position of their own volition or getting forcibly liquidated by their platform. Such a trend can lead to more stable price action for BTC due to the clearing of leverage. Now, here is the chart shared by CryptoVizArt.₿ that shows the trend in the Bitcoin perpetual futures Open Interest (BTC-denominated) over the last few months: The value of the metric seems to have been moving sideways in recent days | Source: @CryptoVizArt on X As displayed in the above graph, the BTC-denominated Bitcoin perpetual futures Open Interest saw a sharp plunge back in October as a result of the crash in the cryptocurrency’s price. Following the leverage flush, the indicator traveled sideways around its lows, but in mid-November, speculation noted an uptick as the asset’s drawdown continued, with the metric’s value peaking alongside the level that has so far acted as the bottom. Since this high, however, the indicator has cooled off once again and approached the same lows as the ones that followed the massive liquidation event in October. Thus, with Open Interest back under 310,000 BTC, it seems speculative interest in the market has once again become muted. The recent decline in speculative participation has come alongside a drop in the perpetual futures Funding Rate, a metric tracking the amount of periodic fee being exchanged between the short and long investors. How the BTC Funding Rate has changed over the last few months | Source: @CryptoVizArt on X From the chart, it’s visible that the Bitcoin perpetual futures Funding Rate has been going down since a while now. “This persistent drift lower reflects a decline in leveraged long conviction, with traders unwilling to pay a premium to maintain upside exposure,” noted the Glassnode researcher. Related Reading Bitcoin Market Structure Echoes 2022 Bear Start, Glassnode Warns 4 days ago Based on the recent developments, CryptoVizArt.₿ has called the perpetual futures market a “ghost town.” BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $90,500, up almost 6% over the last seven days. The trend in the price of the coin over the last five days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com