The immediate impact of the anticipated fed rate cut is low as it's already priced in. however, thin year-end liquidity and potential 'guidance surprises' from the fed or diverging central bank policies could lead to medium volatility and shifts in market sentiment.
The analysis is from coindesk, a reputable crypto news source, quoting insights from qcp, polymarket, and okx singapore, indicating a well-researched perspective.
Bitcoin is currently range-bound around $90,000 due to drained liquidity and a fully priced-in fed rate cut. the market's ability to absorb directional trades is weaker, leading to smaller, short-lived swings. future direction hinges on fed guidance and broader central bank policy divergence.
The 'thin year-end liquidity' and immediate reaction to fed guidance and central bank signals will primarily influence short-term price movements and volatility. however, the macro signals could set a stage for medium-term trends.
Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Asia Morning Briefing: BTC Steadies Around 90k With Liquidity Drained and a Fed Cut Fully Priced In QCP notes participation has collapsed while Polymarket sees a shallow easing path, putting the focus on guidance and cross central bank signals. By Sam Reynolds Dec 9, 2025, 2:14 a.m. What to know : Bitcoin remains around $90,000 as thin year-end liquidity leads to volatility and range-bound trading. Traders expect a shallow easing path from the Fed, with more focus on guidance than the anticipated rate cut. Global market movements are influenced by diverging central bank policies and macroeconomic signals. Good Morning, Asia. Here's what's making news in the markets: Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk's Crypto Daybook Americas. Bitcoin is hovering around 90k after a weekend of sharp but short-lived swings that exposed how thin year-end liquidity has become. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy . In a recent note, QCP writes that perp open interest in both BTC and ETH has dropped by nearly half since October, which means the market’s ability to absorb directional trades is much weaker. Meanwhile, Polymarket odds show traders have already priced this week’s 25 bp cut and lean toward a January pause, signaling that investors expect a shallow easing path rather than a cycle. The combination explains why BTC remains range-bound, because of a lack of market activity, and why outsized moves are more likely to come from guidance surprises than from the rate decision itself. “The Fed’s rate cut may be the headline, but the more important shift is the widening gap in policy signals across major central banks. The BOE is divided, the ECB is holding firm, and the BOJ is preparing to tighten at yield levels last seen in 2007, all against a backdrop of rising friction across key Asian economies," Gracie Lin, CEO of OKX Singapore told CoinDesk in an interview. Lin added that the recent clearing of leveraged positions has improved market structure by removing overcrowded trades, giving prices room to move without forced flows. With that reset, she said bitcoin was able to push back toward 91k as global capital adjusts to an uneven set of macro signals. All of this sets the stage for a market where direction will hinge on how traders interpret the Fed’s guidance and the broader policy split rather than the rate move that everyone has already priced in. Market Movement: BTC: Bitcoin slipped toward $90,000 on Monday after early U.S. trading erased a brief weekend bounce, leaving the market stuck in a narrow range as rising bond yields and softer equities pressured risk assets. ETH: Ether edged slightly lower alongside the broader market, but continued to outperform on a relative basis and briefly touched its strongest level against bitcoin in more than a month. Gold: Gold dipped slightly on Monday as traders stayed cautious ahead of the Fed’s policy meeting, with markets pricing a high likelihood of a rate cut and waiting for Powell’s guidance on future moves. Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific stocks slipped on Tuesday, tracking Wall Street’s decline as investors stayed cautious ahead of a widely expected 25 bp Fed rate cut and awaited guidance on the central bank’s next steps. Elsewhere in Crypto: 40% of Canadian Crypto Users Flagged for Tax Evasion Risk, Canadian Tax Authority Reveals ( CoinDesk ) Ondo Finance Says Biden-Era SEC Investigation Closed With No Charges ( Decrypt ) Bitcoin News btc Fed More For You Protocol Research: GoPlus Security By CoinDesk Research Nov 14, 2025 Commissioned by GoPlus What to know : As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M. GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month. Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B. View Full Report More For You Bitcoin Treads Water Near $90K as Bitfinex Warns of 'Fragile Setup' to Shocks By Krisztian Sandor | Edited by Stephen Alpher 5 hours ago BTC's relative weakness compared to stocks points to tepid spot demand, making the largest crypto vulnerable to macro volatility, Bitfinex analysts said. What to know : Bitcoin erased very modest overnight gains early Monday and spent the rest of the U.S. session in a tight range around the $90,000 level. Rising long bond yields and a small U.S. equities pulling back weighed on risk appetite as traders eye this week's Federal Reserve meeting. Bitfinex analysts pointed out bitcoin's relative weakness against U.S. stocks amid modest spot demand and structural softness. 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