Bitcoin Edges Back Above $91,000 as Traders Brace for Fed Decision and Jobs Data

Bitcoin Edges Back Above $91,000 as Traders Brace for Fed Decision and Jobs Data

Source: Decrypt

Published:03:29 UTC

BTC Price:$91235

#BTC #Fed #Crypto

Analysis

Price Impact

High

The upcoming fed decision and jobs data are significant macroeconomic events. expectations for a rate cut, bolstered by rising jobless claims and the conclusion of quantitative tightening (qt), could act as a major bullish catalyst for risk assets like bitcoin.

Trustworthiness

High

The analysis is supported by expert commentary from merkle tree capital's cio, ryan mcmillin, and references to economic forecasts (jobless claims) and established market reactions to fed policy.

Price Direction

Bullish

A fed rate cut typically lowers borrowing costs, increasing liquidity and making risk assets more attractive. the end of qt also adds to market liquidity, which, combined with the rate cut anticipation, is seen as a strong positive for bitcoin.

Time Effect

Long

While immediate market reactions can occur, a shift in fed monetary policy (rate cuts, end of qt) establishes a new macroeconomic environment that can influence asset prices and investor sentiment over an extended period.

Original Article:

Article Content:

In brief Bitcoin rose to about $91,950 on Sunday, extending its rebound from the month’s $85,000 trough. Traders remain cautious after October’s $19 billion leverage wipeout, with market makers slow to return, Decrypt was told. Expectations for a rate cut strengthened as jobless-claim forecasts climb and the Fed concludes QT. Decrypt’s Art, Fashion, and Entertainment Hub. Discover SCENE Bitcoin inched higher on Sunday, reclaiming the $90,000 price tag as traders await the Federal Reserve’s last interest-rate decision for the year and this week’s latest jobs data. The world’s largest crypto is up 1.8% on the day to $91,950 and has since recovered from its early December lows near $85,000, according to CoinGecko data. The asset is up 5.3% for the month. Bitcoin has been caught in a narrow trading range following the $19 billion leverage wipeout in early October, amid fears of sticky inflation that could complicate the Fed’s path to future rate cuts.  Services inflation has cooled from last year’s peaks but remains firmer than goods prices, with shelter still running above the Fed’s target. That uneven progress has complicated the Fed’s disinflation plan and kept traders wary of how far and how quickly rate cuts might unfold. With that setup weighing on investor sentiment, gold and silver have soared as Bitcoin lingers, with the digital asset remaining more sensitive to macro shocks than U.S. equities. “Low liquidity is still an issue for the market,” Ryan McMillin, chief investment officer at Merkle Tree Capital, told Decrypt . “Since the October 10 event, order books were wiped out, and market makers are shy to jump back in in size.” Economists are forecasting a spike in initial jobless claims on Thursday of 30,000, up from the previous reported figure of 191,000, MarketWatch data shows. That could bolster the Fed’s case for a cut now that economic data releases have returned to schedule following delays caused by the longest government shutdown in U.S. history. A cut to the Fed’s funds rate is typically seen as a boon for risk assets, as borrowing becomes cheaper, potentially leading to a rally in risk assets, including crypto, or so the thinking goes. With economic data now flowing normally again, McMillin said “a cut is not just about certain,” adding that with the Fed ending quantitative tightening on December 1, “the market is set to rally.” “The rate cut might be the catalyst for that to start,” he said. Daily Debrief Newsletter Start every day with the top news stories right now, plus original features, a podcast, videos and more. Your Email Get it! Get it!