Bitcoin is currently range-bound between $80,600 and $96,000 due to weak spot buying pressure. however, a significant stablecoin overhang on exchanges suggests substantial buying power is currently idle, poised for a potential future surge.
Analysis from cointelegraph, a reputable source, incorporating on-chain data from cryptoquant and technical analysis from tradingview/hyblock capital.
The immediate outlook is sideways consolidation, as spot buyers are 'sheepish' and the market awaits signals from the upcoming fomc meeting. a re-test of lower support could be constructive, but a direct re-test of higher resistance without gathering liquidity may lead to further correction.
Sideways consolidation is expected in the short term, likely until the federal reserve's fomc meeting (dec 9-10). however, the stablecoin overhang indicates potential for a strong rally in the medium to long term once liquidity is deployed.
Biraajmaan Tamuly 1 minute ago Bitcoin’s lack of price strength due to sheepish spot buyers: What happens next? Bitcoin fudged the breakout to $93,000 as global TradFi markets stumbled and BTC spot investors failed to provide the necessary volume. Listen 0:00 Market Analysis COINTELEGRAPH IN YOUR SOCIAL FEED Bitcoin ( BTC ) attempted to close above a key resistance zone last week after briefly spiking to roughly $93,300. However, BTC failed to stop a mean-reversion trend, with the price dropping below $85,000 on Monday. Bitcoin four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView Key takeaways: Bitcoin’s inability to close above $93,000 invalidated the confirmation of a bullish trend reversal. Without fresh spot demand, Bitcoin could range between $80,600 and $96,000 until one of those levels is retested. Lack of spot buyers flattens bullish sentiment Thin spot liquidity and weak order-book depth are the major culprits in the current difficulty BTC encounters when attempting to move above $93,000. Although a dense cost-basis cluster sits around $84,000, more than 400,000 BTC acquired in this range have effectively formed an onchain floor. Despite strong historical accumulation, active buying pressure between $84,000 and $90,000 has been absent. Meanwhile, many short-term holders remain underwater relative to their average entry of $104,600, putting the market in a low-liquidity zone. Data from CryptoQuant showed that the Binance “Bitcoin to Stablecoin Reserve Ratio” has dropped to its lowest level since 2018. This implied an unprecedented build-up of stablecoins ready to buy BTC. Historically, such extreme stablecoin-to-BTC ratios on exchanges have preceded major rallies. Binance Bitcoin/Stablecoin Reserve Ratio. Source: CryptoQuant/X While spot demand remains weak, the stablecoin overhang suggests the buying power to fuel a surge is on hand, but currently sitting idle. Related: BTC price analysis: Bitcoin could crash another 50% Bitcoin may remain sideways ahead of the next FOMC Bitcoin is now trapped between $96,000 (the top of the recent range) and $80,600–$84,000 (onchain cost-basis floor). Liquidity clusters remained on either side, which means a breakout in either direction could trigger sharp moves. Bitcoin one-day analysis. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView From a bullish standpoint, a re-test of the lower band near $80,600–$84,000 might be constructive. That would allow BTC to soak up liquidity on the downside, rebuilding a base before a rebound. Conversely, an immediate retest of $93,000–$96,000 without first gathering liquidity below could backfire as sellers may re-enter, risking further correction in line with the broader downtrend. Liquidity remains on either side of the range for BTC. Source: Hyblock Capital Given the current backdrop, a period of sideways consolidation is increasingly likely ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve (FOMC) meeting on Dec. 9–10. With markets watching for signals on US interest-rate policy, traders could remain sidelined rather than chase volatile moves. Related: BTC price dips under $84K as Bitcoin faces ‘pivotal’ week for 2025 candle This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. # Bitcoin # Cryptocurrencies # Bitcoin Price # Investments # Markets # Cryptocurrency Exchange # Binance # Price Analysis # Market Analysis Add reaction