The article highlights significant resistance levels for bitcoin at $92,000-$94,000 and a dense cluster at $99,000-$104,000, where multiple emas converge downwards. overcoming these barriers would require substantial momentum, making current price movements highly impactful on future direction.
The analysis is based on technical indicators (emas, resistance levels), market sentiment (polymarket prediction), and volume analysis, providing a well-rounded and credible perspective.
A 74% majority on polymarket predicts bitcoin will stay below $92,000 this week, indicating strong short-term bearish sentiment. the recovery is described as a 'reflexive recovery' rather than a trend reversal, with low volume on the rebound suggesting buyers are reactive, not dominant. strong resistance at key levels makes a surge to $100,000 unlikely in the near term.
The analysis focuses on the immediate 'this week' outlook from polymarket traders and the current 'grind' into immediate resistance, indicating a short-term perspective on price movement challenges.
Cover image via www.freepik.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available. Read U.TODAY on Google News Bitcoin's grind Why current recovery is shaky Advertisement With a 74% chance that Bitcoin will remain below $92,000 this week, Polymarket traders are extremely pessimistic about the short-term rise of the cryptocurrency. The chart’s structural problems, and the market’s actions following the most recent violent sell-off, are reflected in this sentiment read, which is not arbitrary . Bitcoin's grind The rally is still more of a reflexive recovery than a trend reversal, despite Bitcoin’s dramatic comeback off sub-$85,000 lows. Bitcoin is grinding into the underside of a dense resistance cluster on the chart. The 20-EMA, 50-EMA and 100-EMA all converge at $99,000-$104,000 and slope downward, creating a barrier that has historically required significant momentum to breach. BTC/USDT Chart by TradingView Bitcoin must overcome the more immediate obstacle at $92,000-$94,000, where the market repeatedly faltered prior to the November breakdown, before it can even hope to reach $100,000 once more. HOT Stories Crypto Market Prediction: Can Bitcoin Break $90,000 on Recovery March? Shiba Inu (SHIB) Fresh Rally Starts, Is XRP Building Bullish Momentum? Coinbase's Armstrong Angers Bitcoin Maximalists by Praising Ethereum's Buterin Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price to Remove Zero, XRP on Edge of 30% Breakout, Bitcoin (BTC) Prints Insane 36,380% Liquidation Imbalance – Crypto News Digest Morning Crypto Report: Is It Too Late to Buy Shiba Inu (SHIB)? Elon Musk's SpaceX Resumes Strange Bitcoin Activity, $1,000,000,000 Ripple Stablecoin Gains Traction in UAE Although the recovery leg is robust, it comes after one of the year’s fastest declines. Speculative bounces are typically drawn to that kind of move, but sustained conviction is not always guaranteed. Even though the volume on the rebound is higher than it was during the liquidation cascade, it is still significantly lower. This imbalance indicates that buyers are not dominant, but rather reactive. Advertisement You Might Also Like Fri, 11/28/2025 - 06:33 Raoul Pal: Bitcoin Is '2017 Google' in Network Growth By Alex Dovbnya Psychological exhaustion is probably also priced in for Polymarket traders. The market realized that the uptrend was not as strong as many had thought after Bitcoin lost its multimonth support and blasted through the 200-day region without any significant pause. It is always more difficult to recover lost levels than to keep them. Why current recovery is shaky Additionally, the market is waiting for confirmation that the bounce is not the result of trapped longs exiting into strength, or shorts covering. This is a more general macro hesitation. The recovery is still questionable and sensitive to another rollover in the absence of a strong push above $92,000. The chart already indicates that Bitcoin has room to rise, but it is headed straight into resistance with no catalyst powerful enough to force a breakout. This is reflected in the 74% bearish odds. It is too soon to expect Bitcoin to surge back toward $100,000 until buyers prove they can break through the $92,000 ceiling. #Bitcoin #Polymarket #Bitcoin Price