Cathie wood and ark invest maintain their $1.5m bitcoin bull case, citing expected significant liquidity injection ($300b) into markets and the imminent end of quantitative tightening (qt) by the federal reserve on dec 1. these macro factors are highly bullish for risk assets, including crypto.
Ark invest is a prominent and respected investment management firm with a strong research department. their analysis of macro-economic conditions (liquidity, fed policy) is generally well-regarded, even if their long-term price targets are ambitious.
The return of significant market liquidity, the conclusion of qt, and a potential pivot to quantitative easing (qe) create a highly favorable environment for bitcoin. these factors historically drive up the prices of risk assets by increasing money supply and lowering borrowing costs.
The article highlights near-term catalysts: $300 billion in liquidity returning over the next five to six weeks, and the end of quantitative tightening scheduled for dec 1. this suggests an immediate to short-term impact on market conditions.
Zoltan Vardai 3 minutes ago Cathie Wood says ARK’s Bitcoin $1.5M bull price hasn’t changed as markets eye rally ARK Invest expects another $300 billion in liquidity to return after the government shutdown, a development that may alleviate the “liquidity squeeze” affecting crypto and AI valuations. Listen 0:00 37 News COINTELEGRAPH IN YOUR SOCIAL FEED Equities and cryptocurrency markets may be setting up for a year-end reversal as liquidity improves and US monetary policy turns more supportive following the end of the record government shutdown. Improving market conditions will be driven by the growing liquidity, which has already returned $70 billion into markets since the end of the US government shutdown , with another $300 billion expected to return over the next five to six weeks as the Treasury General Account normalizes, according to investment management firm ARK Invest. Another potential catalyst arrives on Dec. 1, when the US Federal Reserve is scheduled to end its quantitative tightening program and pivot toward quantitative easing , a shift that involves bond-buying to lower borrowing costs and stimulate economic activity. “With liquidity returning, quantitative tightening (QT) ending December 1st, and monetary policy turning supportive, we believe conditions are building for markets to potentially reverse recent drawdowns,” wrote Ark in a Wednesday X post . Source: ARK Invest Related: Over 8% of Bitcoin changed hands in week, markets on ‘knife’s edge,’ Analysts say Crypto and AI liquidity squeeze may ease The current “liquidity squeeze” limiting the upside of the cryptocurrency and artificial intelligence markets is set to “reverse in the next few weeks,” wrote Cathie Wood, the CEO and chief investment officer of ARK Invest, in a Thursday X post . Earlier in April, ARK Invest predicted a Bitcoin ( BTC ) price target of $1.5 million in the company’s “bull case,” and a $300,000 price target in the “bear case.” Bitcoin price target for 2030. Source: Ark-invest.com Related: Strategy unveils new credit gauge to calm debt fears after Bitcoin crash Despite the recent crypto market correction and stablecoins subtracting from Bitcoin’s role as a safe-haven asset, the bullish price target remains unchanged. “The stablecoins have accelerated, taking some of the role away from Bitcoin that we expected,” but the “gold price appreciation has been far greater than we expected,” explained Wood during a webinar on Monday, adding: “So net, our bull price, which most people focus on, really hasn’t changed.” Webinar by Cathie Wood, the CEO and chief investment officer of ARK Invest. Source: Ark-funds.com Other popular crypto analysts have also predicted a significant crypto market rally with improving financial conditions in the US. Notably, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicted a Bitcoin rally to $250,000 if the Federal Reserve announced a pivot to QE. Still, cryptocurrency markets will continue lacking conviction until Bitcoin can reclaim the $92,000 level, which may “open the door to a broader recovery if macro conditions align,” Iliya Kalchev, dispatch analyst at digital asset platform Nexo, told Cointelegraph. Magazine: Bitcoin to see ‘one more big thrust’ to $150K, ETH pressure builds # Bitcoin # Cryptocurrencies # Altcoins # Federal Reserve # Business # Banks # Central Bank # Bitcoin Price # Technology # Investments # United States # AI # Quantitative Easing # Predictions # Tokens # ARK # Price Analysis # Stablecoin # Market Analysis # DeFi # Companies Add reaction