An analyst warns of a potential 'final leverage flush' pushing bitcoin prices into the $70,000 to $80,000 zone, despite some signs of a local bottom being formed around $82,000.
The warning comes from an analyst referencing statistical market events (2-sigma liquidation) and is supported by observations of continued whale distribution. however, other analysts suggest a local bottom may have formed, adding a layer of uncertainty to the immediate downside prediction.
The primary warning indicates a potential drop to $70k-$80k to clear remaining leverage. while the market is oversold and some see a local bottom, the analyst's caution about a final flush and ongoing whale selling lean towards a bearish short-term outlook.
The 'final leverage flush' suggests a relatively quick event to clear out remaining leveraged positions, potentially occurring in the near term to complete the current correction cycle.
Martin Young 2 minutes ago Bitcoin final leverage flush below $80K is possible, warns analyst An analyst has warned that Bitcoin’s recent liquidation event may not be finished, with remaining leverage potentially pushing prices somewhere between the $70,000 to $80,000 zone. Listen 0:00 37 News COINTELEGRAPH IN YOUR SOCIAL FEED The pain may not be over yet for Bitcoin investors, according to one crypto analyst, arguing that there’s still more leverage that could be flushed out. Crypto analyst James Check described the recent market meltdown as a “2-sigma long liquidation event,” which wiped out a “chunk of degen gamblers.” Most of the leverage is gone, but the market “has an incredible nose that can sniff out the final hold-outs,” he added , cautioning that a further flush out could be on the cards. “We wouldn’t be too surprised if we wick into the $70k-$80k zone to flush the final leverage pockets.” A 2-sigma liquidation event in crypto refers to a significant market movement that triggers mass liquidations of leveraged positions, with “2-sigma,” or two standard deviations, indicating the statistical magnitude of the price swing . Bitcoin shed over $24,000 in just ten days, dropping to a seven-month low of around $82,000 on Nov. 21. Graph of Bitcoin’s 2-sigma liquidation event. Source: James Check Bitcoin has found a local bottom The crypto markets showed tentative signs of stabilization after last week’s dramatic sell-off , and may have found a local bottom, Augustine Fan, head of insights at crypto trading software service provider SignalPlus, told Cointelegraph. “Markets are currently so oversold from both sentiment and technical perspectives (such as Bollinger Bands), and prices are likely to have seen local lows for now, absent any new exogenous factors (such as DAT forced selling),” she said. Related: Bitcoin’s Sharpe ratio is nearly at zero, a rare risk-reward signal Fan expects prices to range between $82,000 and $92,000 and identified the next significant price support around the $78,000 area. “A sustained break below would open up further significant downside, but is not the base case scenario for now,” Bitcoin whales are still distributing BTC Analysts at blockchain data provider CryptoQuant identified a local bottom that could lead to a more sustained rebound. “On-chain data shows a market shaped by institutional redistribution, structural weakness, and a rebound that may signal a local bottom,” said analyst Carmelo Alemán on Tuesday. However, the crucial 1,000 to 10,000 BTC whale cohort is still selling, which prevents a full confirmation of the trend reversal, he added. “The recovery is promising, but the end of the bearish phase requires a clear shift in whale behavior.” Magazine: Bitcoin $200K soon or 2029? Scott Bessent hangs at Bitcoin bar: Hodler’s Digest # Bitcoin # Bitcoin Price # Markets Add reaction