Zec is already down 30% from its november peak, with technical analysis and analyst warnings suggesting potential further drops of 50-60% from current levels due to 'pump-and-dump' risks and parabolic chart breakdowns.
The analysis is backed by multiple technical chart patterns (symmetrical triangle, bnb parabola comparison), specific price targets, and warnings from several market analysts regarding 'pump-and-dump' dynamics and fabricated news, despite some long-term bullish outlooks from prominent figures.
Technical patterns, such as a symmetrical triangle breakdown and a comparison to bnb's pre-crash parabola, indicate a likely 50-60% price correction. analyst warnings of 'pump-and-dump' schemes and fragile macroeconomic sentiment further support a bearish outlook, targeting $220-$280.
While the initial 30% drop is short-term, the projected further 50% drop to $282 is anticipated by 'early 2026', and the 60% correction based on the bnb comparison suggests a medium to longer-term trend for the full downside.
Yashu Gola 2 minutes ago Zcash down 30% from November’s top: Will ZEC price crash further? Analysts warn of “pump-and-dump” risks associated with ZEC’s sudden surge in hype, even as major crypto figures maintain a long-term bullish outlook. Listen 0:00 15 Altcoin Watch COINTELEGRAPH IN YOUR SOCIAL FEED Key takeaways: ZEC charts mirror BNB’s pre-crash parabola, hinting at a potential correction to the $220–$280 range next. Analysts warn of “pump-and-dump” dynamics amid paid promotions, although some crypto veterans remain bullish long term. Zcash ( ZEC ) has dropped about 30% from its November peak of $750, raising fears of deeper losses ahead, with some analysts warning of a potential “ pump-and-dump .” ZEC/USDT four-hour chart. Source: TradingView Symmetrical triangle hints at 50% ZEC price drop As of Monday, Zcash traded within a symmetrical triangle pattern on the four-hour chart, reflecting indecision among traders following its 1,500% price rally since late September. The setup also followed a rebound from the 200-4H exponential moving average (200-4H EMA; the blue line), a key support trendline, suggesting a possible move toward the triangle’s upper boundary near the 0.786 Fib level at $686 in November. ZEC/USDT four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView Symmetrical triangles can break either way, depending on the broader market sentiment. In ZEC’s case, the market sentiment remains fragile, pressured by uncertainty over Federal Reserve rate policy and stretched AI sector valuations , which are hurting risk assets. Thus, a breakdown below the triangle’s lower trendline appeared to be the most likely outcome if prevailing macroeconomic conditions persist in the coming weeks. Source: X Such a move could push ZEC toward its $282 downside target, which is approximately 50% below current levels, by early 2026. The level aligns with the local tops established in early October, as well as the 20-period EMA (represented by the green wave) on the weekly chart. ZEC/USDT weekly chart. Source: TradingView BNB parabola warns of 60% Zcash price correction Zcash’s current structure resembles the parabolic rise and breakdown previously seen in BNB ( BNB ) before its steep correction, according to trader Nebraskangooner . ZEC/USDT and BNB/USDT daily chart comparison. Source: TradingView/Nebraskangooner Much like BNB’s 2021 setup, ZEC has lost momentum after an overextended rally. Its price failed to reclaim its parabola support, as anticipated by Zcash bulls who projected a $1,000 target earlier in November. As NebraskanGooner noted , such patterns often preceded deeper retracements of at least 60%. That brings ZEC’s potential downside target to the $220–$280 range. Source: X Analysts back pump-and-dump narratives Adding to bearish sentiment, Mark Moss, a Bitcoin-focused venture capitalist and educator, shared screenshots of outreach messages from marketing agencies offering paid ZEC collaborations. Source: X Market analyst Rajat Soni cautioned that the recent hype around ZEC may be an effort to “find exit liquidity,” citing fabricated headlines that falsely claimed Fidelity analysts predicted Zcash could hit $100,000. Against the bearish tide, crypto bigwigs, such as BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes and Gemini co-founders Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, remain bullish on Zcash, with the former expecting ZEC price to hit $10,000 . This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. # Altcoins # Markets # Zcash # Tech Analysis # Market Analysis # Altcoin Watch Add reaction