Analysts suggest 'capitulation is behind us' as swissblock's risk-off signal collapses from extreme highs, indicating seller exhaustion and a potential bitcoin bottom forming. this marks a significant shift from panic liquidation.
The analysis relies on a specific analytical framework (swissblock's risk-off signal) with historical accuracy in mapping bottom structures. however, it includes caveats about the 'upcoming week' being crucial and that the bottom is 'not done' yet.
While the immediate panic selling seems to be over, the market is entering a stabilization phase. a retest of the $83,000-$85,000 lows with weaker momentum could confirm the bottom and lead to recovery. however, increased selling pressure could still push btc to $78,000-$80,000, keeping the near-term direction somewhat balanced.
The 'upcoming week' is crucial for confirmation of the bottoming pattern. if the retest of lows occurs with weaker momentum, a shift towards buyers and recovery targets (20-day and 50-day mas) could manifest relatively quickly.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available. Read U.TODAY on Google News Finally over? Sellers are exhausted Advertisement The most recent read from @Swissblock's risk-off signal provides the first concrete proof that capitulation has reached its limit, suggesting that Bitcoin may finally be establishing a bottom . The risk-off index has collapsed from extreme highs and is currently plunging sharply following weeks of unrelenting selling that propelled Bitcoin straight through its major moving averages and into the mid-$80,000 region. In the past, this type of rollover has only occurred when forced selling runs out. Finally over? The crucial point is that the market is no longer in the panic liquidation phase that propelled the first leg of the crash, and selling pressure has obviously decreased. This is supported by price action; RSI reached levels typical of local bottoms, and BTC recently printed its first significant rebound candle following a vertical decline. BTC/USDT Chart by TradingView While none of this ensures a reversal, it does signal a shift from blind surrender to stabilization. Swissblock's framework is important in this case because it has surprisingly accurately mapped earlier bottom structures. Examine the chart for March and April. A second weaker selling wave emerges after the first selling spike depletes liquidity and the signal collapses. HOT Stories Morning Crypto Report: XRP and $1.69 Trillion Franklin Templeton, Coinbase Reveals Key Data for SHIB Holders, Bitcoin Prints 7,149% Liquidation Imbalance Ripple Executive Reacts to BlackRock’s First Abu Dhabi Board Meeting Strategy (MSTR) Having Second-Worst Month Since Buying Bitcoin Morning Crypto Report: Dogecoin and SHIB 'Santa Rally' Ready? XRP May Hit $5 Thanks to ETF Launch, Bitcoin Bulls Win Back $37 Million Sellers are exhausted When sellers are unable to break the market once more, the price maintains its previous lows, which serves as fuel for a trend reversal. True seller exhaustion occurs during the second wave. The same setup is now being approached. Although we have not yet seen the second wave, risk-off is rapidly declining. Advertisement This makes the upcoming week crucial. The pattern would nearly perfectly match previous bottom formations if BTC retests the lows with noticeably weaker momentum, such as lower volume, softer risk-off readings and no break below the $83,000-$85,000 range. In that case, a recovery toward the 20-day and 50-day moving averages becomes the first target as the market begins to shift control back toward buyers. The bottom is not done, though, and BTC may return to the $78,000-$80,000 liquidity pocket if selling pressure increases and risk-off spikes once more. #Bitcoin #Bitcoin Price